... and affiliated pro shops. It plans to28 Financial Modeling with Crystal Balland Excel JOHN CHARNESJohn Wiley & Sons, Inc. 10 FINANCIALMODELINGWITHCRYSTALBALLAND EXCEL ■ Crystal Ball ... 249Glossary 251References 255Index 263 Financial Modeling with Crystal Balland Excel JOHN CHARNESJohn Wiley & Sons, Inc. Analyzing CrystalBall Forecasts27PRESENTING THE RESULTSThe ... 16 FINANCIALMODELINGWITHCRYSTALBALLAND EXCEL FIGURE 2.4 Forecast chart statistics for accumulated value after 30 yearsof retirement savings where 50 percent was put into stocks and 50...
... Assumptions 36 Crystal Ball s Basic Distributions 36Using Historical Data to Choose Distributions 54Specifying Correlations 63vii 10 FINANCIALMODELINGWITHCRYSTALBALLAND EXCEL ■ Crystal Ball gives ... approximation to reality. 4 FINANCIALMODELINGWITHCRYSTALBALLAND EXCEL In short, probability and statistics help you weigh the potential rewards and punishments associated with the decisions you ... College on Simulation, and proceedings coeditor (1996) and program chair (2002) for the Winter Simulation Confererences.xvii Financial Modeling with Crystal Balland Excel JOHN CHARNESJohn...
... 18 FINANCIALMODELINGWITHCRYSTALBALLAND EXCEL FIGURE 2.5 Frequency distributions depicting negative (Skewness =−2), positive (+2), and near-zero(0.02) skewness at top left, top right, and ... more. 26 FINANCIALMODELINGWITHCRYSTALBALLAND EXCEL FIGURE 2.15 Overlay chart comparing accumulated value after 30 years of retirement savings for twodifferent allocations into stocks and bonds ... Figure 2.2, thepossible values range from $0 to $15 million, and are broken up into 15 equal 14 FINANCIALMODELINGWITHCRYSTALBALLAND EXCEL FIGURE 2.3 Cumulative frequency chart showing accumulated...
... to offer for sale in its retail stores and affiliated pro shops. It plans to28 32 FINANCIALMODELINGWITHCRYSTALBALLAND EXCEL FIGURE 3.4 Defining the demand assumption for the Alaskan Golf purchase ... section, we will add assumptions and a forecast to thedeterministic model in AKGolf.xls to create a stochastic model. 30 FINANCIALMODELINGWITHCRYSTALBALLAND EXCEL TABLE 3.1 Stochastic assumptions ... selecting and specifying CrystalBall assumptions. Building a CrystalBall Model31FIGURE 3.2 Distribution gallery showing the triangular and normal distributions. To see all of CrystalBall s...
... 60 FINANCIALMODELINGWITHCRYSTALBALLAND EXCEL This section gives a brief description of the procedures used by CrystalBall forfitting distributions. Suppose a random sample of ... distribution. 66 FINANCIALMODELINGWITHCRYSTALBALLAND EXCEL cells B2:B78 and C2:C78, respectively, in the spreadsheet PearsonSpearman.xls.Cell H2 is lognormal(1.18,0.36), and cell I2 is lognormal(1.13,0.22).The ... from the fact that it represents arandom variable whose natural logarithm follows the normal distribution. Like the 68 FINANCIALMODELINGWITHCRYSTALBALLAND EXCEL FIGURE 4.33 Calculate Correlation...
... second quarter of year, and abandon theproject if three consecutive quarters of cash flow below −$6 occur; and (2) expand if 88 FINANCIALMODELINGWITHCRYSTALBALLAND EXCEL FIGURE 5.21 Step ... through K are hidden. 94 FINANCIALMODELINGWITHCRYSTALBALLAND EXCEL different values for Abandon Point and seven different values for Expansion Point.If we used more values with Decision Table, ... that CrystalBall checks and thusspeeds up the analysis. 86 FINANCIALMODELINGWITHCRYSTALBALLAND EXCEL To see the decision variable for threshold value of cash flow for expanding theproject,...
... FINANCIALMODELINGWITHCRYSTALBALLANDEXCEL and wish to do things Excel doesn’t already do, or you wish to do extra processingduring each trial of the simulation, see the CrystalBall User ... here.FIGURE 6.8 Run Preferences Statistics tab. 96 FINANCIALMODELINGWITHCRYSTALBALLAND EXCEL FIGURE 6.1 Run Preferences Trials tab. Crystal Ball executes the simulation cycle automatically, ... the precision of theestimate of the mean. 100 FINANCIALMODELINGWITHCRYSTALBALLAND EXCEL FIGURE 6.5 Run Preferences Sampling tab.these random numbers has the capability to produce over...
... Element (deprecated) 48Understanding Block and Inline Elements 48Grouping Elements with <div> and <span> 49Summary 50Exercises 51Chapter 2: Links and Navigation 53Basic Links ... 56Understanding Directories and Directory Structures 57What Are You Linking To? 58What a URL Is Made Up Of 59Absolute and Relative URLs 61The <base> Element 64Creating Links with the ... tags, and the added meaning the tags give is describing the structure of the document. Between the opening <p> and closing </p> tags are paragraphs, and between the <h1> and...
... randomImageIndex, and use it to generate a random number. You’ll use the same method you used to generate a random die throw earlier, but without adding 1 to the result because you need a random number ... data and provide you with properties and methods.www.it-ebooks.info For your convenience Apress has placed some of the front matter material after the index. Please use the Bookmarks and Contents ... pages, and that they can have properties and methods. The Math object, for example, has among its properties one that represents the value of pi and among its methods one that generates a random...
... map on an island, you will want lots of detail for the land and less in the sea region. However, game engines such as Unity, UDK, and Ogre3 Dare are not easily adapted to deal with such variability ... will be done with the Terrain tools. Working from the left-hand side to the right-hand side, the second row of icons are: Create (zone), Modiers, Selection, Texturing, Details, and Water. This ... with the creation of zones, we edit our heightmaps, paint and texture the landscape before adding landscape features such as roads, rivers, and vegetation. Finally, we export everything. Depending...
... Populating Commands 320 Implementing Commands: Links and Settings Flyouts 321 User Data: Libraries, File Pickers, and File Queries 326 Using the File Picker 327 Media Libraries 336 Documents and Removable ... (local, roaming, and temp, which the app can freely access, along with settings files for key-value pairs and some other system-managed folders), and does any necessary fiddling with the registry ... commands, and possibly also a navigation bar on the top. When running full-screen, the user’s device can be oriented in either portrait or landscape, and apps can process various events to handle...
... through code and testã Update the process with a few new tricks we’ve learned over the years, and fully lever-age some advances in modeling toolsã Update the book to be current with the new ... environment.6. See page 431 of the first edition. 7745fmfinal.qxd 12/13/06 9:23 PM Page xxvii Doug Rosenberg and Matt StephensUse Case Driven Object Modeling with UMLTheory and Practice7745fmfinal.qxd ... provide a clue as tothe nature of the error, and then invite you to scrutinize the diagram (and the relevant reviewchapter) and figure out what’s wrong with it. Trying to figure out what’s wrong...
... developers. Standards-based apps are great because they run on multiple platforms; your knowledge and experience with standards like HTML5 and CSS3 are likewise portable. Unfortunately, because standards ... Events and Session State 99 Suspend, Resume, and Terminate 100 Basic Session State in Here My Am! 104 Data from Services and WinJS.xhr 106 Handling Network Connectivity (in Brief) 109 Tips and ... Populating Commands 320 Implementing Commands: Links and Settings Flyouts 321 User Data: Libraries, File Pickers, and File Queries 326 Using the File Picker 327 Media Libraries 336 Documents and Removable...