odds of winning consecutive coin flips
Tài liệu Decision Analysis and Risk Management: Two Sides of the Same Coin pdf
Ngày tải lên :
10/12/2013, 17:15
... related to the four steps of the decision making process and finally to
the three types of error (risk) that occur in each of the four steps.
The paper concludes with an example of how methodical decision ... Management:
Two Sides of the Same Coin
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W
hen we speak of identifying a problem we mean recognition and interpretation of the problem. ... analysis of choices.
This is the stuff of habit, prejudice, and mental laziness.
Analytical bias may be referred to as the unknown unknowns of the known unknowns
. (Whew!) It is a conse-
quence of...
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Moneyball: The Art of Winning an Unfair Game
Ngày tải lên :
14/03/2014, 17:12
... to
Blalock’s way of thinking, at least at the beginning
of his career, was more of an individual than a
team sport, and more of an instinctive athletic
event than a learned skill. Handed an athlete of
Billy’s ... draft was for the future of the
Oakland A’s. The Oakland A’s survived by finding
cheap labor. The treatment of amateur players is
the most glaring of the many violations of free
market principles ... earned the respect of even the crustiest of the
old baseball writers. By the end of the 2002
season, the big fear in Toronto was that he would
bolt town for the job that had been offered to him
to...
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