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Bài viết nghiên cứu an ninh quốc gia trong bối cảnh biến đổi khí hậu, biến đổi khí hậu và thách thức tới an ninh quốc gia, đề xuất một số giải pháp nhằm bảo đảm an ninh quốc gia trước biến đổi khí hậu.
Nghien cCfu - Trao doi V BIEN DOI KHI HAU thach thiirc an ninh quoc gia cua Viet Nam O TS.TAOlNHTHI Sd Tii nguyen vi Mdi trUdng ThS PHAN TH| KIM OANH Vidn Chien lUdc, chinh sach tii nguydn vi mdi trudng ThS TA VAN TRUNG Ting ajc Mdi trUdng i$n d Vi$t Nam, tie dgng hay h$u qua BDKH gay dang cang trd nen hi$n hCtu BDKH khdng chi tan phd mdi trUdng, gay thi$t hai Idn ddi vdi nen kinh te, ddi vdi an ninh luang thi/c, an ninh mdi trudng, ma edn gay nhitng hau qua tieu ci/e khae ve m$t xa hgi Tmh hinh dd ddi hdi chung ta phai ed giai phdp hOu hi$u di dng phd vdi BDKH H An ninh quoc gia boi cinh bien doi ithi hau v d n dd an ninh qudc gia (ANQG) xudt hidn Nha nUdc ddi va gan lien vdi chd dp, the che chfnh trj An ninh qudc gia la khai nidm mang tinh chfnh trj phap ly, thd hidn b i n chat chd dp xa hdi cda mdt qudc gia Vidt Nam, Luat ANQG nam 2004 da xac djnh: "ANQG Id stJ dn djnh, phat then bin vdng cua chi dd XHCN vd Nhd nUdc CHXHCN Vi$t Nam, sij bat xam pham ddc lip, chu quyin, thdng nhat, toin v^n lanh thd cua To quid' Ndi dung ed b i n cQa an ninh qudc gia la b i o vd lpi feh qudc gia va io^i bd eac mdi de dpa tdi lpi ich dd An ninh qudc gia bao ham an ninh truydn thdng va an ninh phi truydn thdng TCiy thudc vao bdi c i n h , thdi diem khac ma nhiing thach thUe an ninh truyen Q thdng hoac an ninh phi truyen thdng ndi len de dpa tdi an ninh qudc gia Trdn the gidi, bdn canh mdi de dpa vd q u i n sy, van tdn t^i nhidu ydu td de dpa den an ninh qudc gia nhu: bien ddi khf hau, d nhilm mdi trudng, can kidt ngudn nude, khung bd, djch benh, tdi pham xuydn qudc gia Trong bdi c i n h hidn nay, mat trai cua sy phat trien n i y sinh, nhOng n h i n thdc vd an ninh cung thay ddi va thuit ngOf an ninh phi truydn thdng (ANPTT) thudng xuyen dupc nhae tdi ANPTT thudng bao ham nhOng yeu td phi quan su, cac t i c n h i n tu nhien hoac cac td chdc ngoai nha nude t i l n hanh va uy hidp tryc tiep ddn an ninh eon ngudi, an ninh qudc gia Hien nay, van de BDKH da trd thach thilc ANPTT Idn nhat ma the gidi phii ddi mat, ben canh cac van dd khOng bd, khijng hoing tai ehfnh, an ninh ngudn nude va an ninh IUdng thuc Theo hang b i o hiem Thuy sy Swiss Re, c i c hidn tupng thdi tiet cue doan tren thd gidi nam 2015 da g i y thidt hai 85 ty USD, 26.000 ngUdi chet eac hien tupng thdi tidt eye doan Nam 2015 da di vao Ijch sCr la nam ndng nhat tU trUde tdi nay, hien tUdng am Idn toan cau va i n h hudng eua hidn tUpng thdi tidt El Nino Nam 2015 cung ghi nhSn kl lye tran sidu bao xuat hidn tai Tai nguyen va Moi tru'ong | Ky - Tiling 3/2017 khu vyc chau A - T h i i Binh DUdng va t r i n ddng dat manh 7,8 dp richter lam rung chuyin Nepal va c i c nUdc lang gidng, khidn nhidu ngUdi thiet m^ng, p h i hiiy nhidu cdng trinh kien true ed va g i y thiet hai Idn ve kinh td Viet Nam, nam 2015 da chUng kien xSm nhSp man xudt hidn sdm, di s i u vao dat lidn va chua tUng xudt hidn lich sif quan t r i e d Ddng bang sdng Ciiu Long (DBSCL) Trong thing 12/2015, dd man la 4g/lil da x i m nhap sau 6065 km, Theo Bao cao eua Ban chi d^o Trung Udng "ve phdng chdng thidn tai, tfnh ddn thdi diem 14/4/2014, thiet h^i han han va xam nhap man t?ii DBSCL Ude t'nh Idn ddn 2.280 ty ddng Didn t'eh Ida bi anh hudng la 224.479 ha, thidt h^ii hoan toan (tren 70%) len ddn 145.124 ha; didn tfch hoa mau, rau mau bj i n h hudng la 6.662 ha; dien tfch cSy trdng lau nam va cay an q u i tap trung bi i n h hudng la 34.131 Gia sue bj chet h^n han va xam nhap man len den 324 con, tap trung tai tinh Ca IVIau Didn tich nudi trdng thuy s i n bj thidt hai la 5.211 ha, dd 4.895 bj thiet h^i hoan toan (trdn 70%) Ngoai ra, h^n han va xam nhap man khien cho 62.650 khu vyc d i n cU thidu nude sinh hoat nhiem man, 247.387 hd dan thieu nude sach de sinh hoat Trong bdi cinh BDKH toan Qudc v i 195 qudc gia (trong dd cau dien phile tap Ding va Nha cd Vidt Nam) tham gia sudt hdn nUdc ta sdm nhin dinh BDKH va hai thip kjf qua, nham thuydt cac tac dpng cua nd thyc sy dang phuc Chfnh phu cac nude hpp tac la mdt nhOfng nguy cd hidn de giim lUpng khf thii gay d hOu de dpa tdi ANPTT va ANQG nhiem, hgn che vide gia tang cCia Viet Nam Vdn dd ilng phd vdi nhiet dp cda Trii dat BDKH la mdt ndi dung quan trpng Bidn ddi Ithf h(iu va thach dupe dUa vao van kien D^i hdi thufc tdi an ninh quoc gia Ding toan qudc ldn thil XII, An ninh luang f/iyc; Vidt Nam nhdn m^inh: "Ting cUdng cdng la nude ndng nghidp, din sd ndng tic quin ly tii nguydn, BVMT, chu ddng dng phd vdi BDKH phijc vy thdn Udc 60,58 tridu ngudi, chidm PTBV theo hudng bio dim tinh 66,06% tong ddn sd c i nude, dat tdng thi, lidn nginh, lidn viing, dip sin xuat ndng nghidp chiem dng nhiem vu trudc mit vi liu dii, 30,9%, nganh ndng nghidp ndng dd l0i th liu dii li ca bin, thdn ddng gdp til 17-19% GDP cd trgng tam, trgng diim, phii hdp cua c i nude Vdn de ndng nghidp, vdi tdng giai (toan"va yeu cau phii ndng thdn va ndng din ed tam "sair? sing dng phd vdi dc mdi de quan trpng dac bidt edng dga an ninh truyen thing vi phi cupc xiy dyng, phat triin, bio vd To qudc va dim bio an ninh IUdng truyin thing" thyc qudc gia d Vidt Nam Ding va Nha nude da cd Theo nghidn cilu eua cac nhidu chu truong, bien phap thyc thi, ling phd vdi BDKH, di kem vdi chuyen gia vd BDKH va ndng dd la Nghj quydt sd 24/NQ-TW nghidp, nhidt dp tang inh hudng 03/6/2013 cua Ban chdp true tidp den nang suat eay trdng hanh Trung Udng Ding khoa XI Khi nhiet dd tang I^C, nang suat vd chil dpng Ung phd vdi bien ddi Ilia se giim 10%, nang suat ngd khf hiu, tang cudng quin ly giim tU 5% ddn 20% va sin TN&BVMT; Chidn lupe qudc gia IUdng eay IUdng thyc giim trung ve BDKH; Chidn lUpe BVMT binh 15%, dieu giy ap lyc qudc gia den nam 2020, tam nhin nang nd den sin lupng IUdng den nam 2030; Chidn lUpc PTBV thuc, mile sdng cila ngudi din Viet Nam giai dogn 2011 - 2020; Luat BVMT 2014; Luat KTTV 2016 Ddn nay, Vidt Nam da ky kdt tham gia nhieu cdng udc qudc td ve BDKH va mdi trudng Ddng thdi, Vidt Nam cung dang tfch eye hpp tic vdi cac nude, eac td chUe trdn thd gidi va xac djnh hpp tac qudc te la cdn thiet d l ddi phd vdi cac thach thUe ANPTT, dd chu trpng tdi vdn de BDKH, ONMT va chia se ngudn nude xuydn bidn gidi Dae biet, Hpi nghj C0P21 dupc td chile tai Paris - Phap lan ddu tidn dat dupc thda thuan Ijch sd vd vdn de BDKH Thda thuin dgt dUpc da dinh ddu budc ddt pha quan trpng nd lUe cila Lidn Hpp Khdng ehl chiu inh hudng cila nhiet dd tang, nude biln ding cung tie ddng tryc tiep ddn ANLT cua Viet Nam NUdc bien dang se lam mat ddt canh tie ndng nghidp Dac biet, DBSCL khdng chi la vya lua cda Viet Nam ma cda c i thd gidi, ndu myc nude bidn ding cao d bat cd mile dd nao ddu se inh hUdng ddn eudc sdng ciia hing chye trieu ngudi din lap tile Ndu myc nude biln dang thdm 75 cm, udc tfnh DBSCL se bj ngap 36.044 lua vy, 210.093 Ida vy, 43.705 lua vy, 19.342 lua vy va thuy sin nude ngpt, 35.008 lua vy va thuy sin nude man, Ip Theo du bao cda Tdng eye thdng ke, ddn giOa the ky XXI, dan sd Vidt Nam udc tinh dat lan lupt la 108,7 trieu ngudi va 119,8 trieu ngUdi theo mdc sinh thap v i mile sinh cao, tdc la tang hdn 1,1-1,3% so vdi mdc 91,7 trieu ngUdi hien nay, tUdng ling nhu cdu ve IUdng Vnyfc, thue pham cung ting 1,1 1,3% so vdi nhu cau hien An ninh kinh ti: BDKH se t i c ddng nghidm trpng den s i n xudt, ddi sdng v i mdi trudng trdn phgm vi toan cdu, td lim giim toe dd tang trUdng kinh td, tao nen eac chu ky tang trUdng khdng ben vufng; dong thdi, lam cham lai tien trinh dat dUpc cac myc tieu thien nidn kjr cda cac nude dd ed Viet Nam Cac nghidn cdu cho bidt, ndu kinh te Viet Nam tidp tyc tang trudng 5,4%/nam giai doan 2007-2050, thi tie ddng cda BDKH ed the d mdc 5,32% den 5,39% Ndu GDP vao nam 2050 cda Vidt Nam dat trdn 500 ty USD thi thidt hai BDKH cd t h i len den khoing 40 ^ USD Day l i thidt hai tUdng ddi Idn va ddi hdi Viet Nam phii cd chfnh sach kjp thdi dng phd vdi BDKH Theo Bao cio Phit triin ngudi 2007/2008 cung dUa mpt sd du bio ve thidt hai tic ddng cda BDKH giy d Vidt Nam Theo dd, vao cudi Thd ky XXI, neu nhiet dp Trii dat tang a^C va myc nude biln tang thdm m thi khoing 22 tridu ngudi se bj mat nha; 12,3% didn tfch dat trdng trpt se bj mat; 40.000 km^ dien tfch ddng bang va 17 km^ bd biln d cic tinh LVS Md Cdng se chju tic ddng eua lu d mdc dp khdng the dy doan Viet Nam cd thi bj thidt hai len tdi khoing 17 tl USD/nam Ddng bang sdng Hdng v i Ddng bang sdng Cdu Long la hai khu vuc se chju inh hudng nang nd nhat bdi BDKH An ninh ngudn nude: Hidn nay, an ninh ngudn nude (ANNN) Tdi nguyen yg Moi tru-ong | Kyi-Tliang3/2017 "I gip nhidu thich thdc Idn v i cang trd ndn cap bach, gay gat Theo Bio cio hidn trgng mdi trUdng qudc gia nam 2012, Viet Nam cd hdn 2.360 sdng cd chidu dai td 10 km trd Idn, ed 109 sdng chfnh Tdng lUpng nUde mat trdn lanh thd Vidt Nam khoing 830 - 840 ^ m^ Trong do, IUdng nude mat ndi sinh chi cd 310 315 tJ m^ (chidm 37%), edn 520 525 tjr m^ (chiem 63%) la td cae nude ling gidng chiy vao Vidt Nam ANNN phy thudc rat Idn vao khai thic va sd dyng dd phit trien kinh te - xa hdi trdn cic sdng Idn cda cic qudc gia, nhdt la trdn cic luu vyc luu vyc sdng Md Cdng, cac dap thdy didn da va se xay dung d Trung Qudc, Lio, Campuchia se la mdi de dpa lim giim sdt ngudn nude, ngudn ea, phd sa, he sinh thii ddi vdi Viet Nam Trong do, tic ddng cda thidn tai va BDKH l i thach thdc Idn khidn ANNN bj de dpa Theo dil bao, vio cudi The ky XXI, myc nude bien ding cao nhdt d khu vyc td Ca Mau den Kien Giang khoing td 54 105 em Nude biln ding gay xim nhap man la mdi de dpa nghiem trpng ddi vdi eic vung ven bien d Viet Nam, dd eac tinh ven bien DBSCL la khu vyc chju inh hudng nang ne nhat Theo cic tii lidu khoa hpc, dp man vUdt qui 10/00, ngudn nUdc da khdng thd sd dyng dype cho sinh hoat, ndu VUdt qui 40/00, ciy edi khdng sinh trudng dupe va chdt Tren thyc te, ed thdi diim d mpt sd dia phUdng cua vung DBSCL, dd man dupe da tang trdn 40/00, tham chi cd noi cao tdi 200/00 Trong giai doan nhieu nim gan ddy, mua khd d khu vyc DBSCL trd nen khac nghidt hdn, tinh hinh han han vd xam nhap man hang nam cd xu hudng keo dai v i gay thidt hgi nghiem trpng cho cic hoat ddng kinh td cung nhu ddi sdng nhin dan Ddu nam 2017, mac du da cd nhufng cdn mua trai mua, nhUng theo dd bao cda ed quan khf tupng thdy van, myc nude ddu ngudn sdng Cdu Long ludn d mdc thdp hdn trung binh nhieu n&m, bio hieu thieu nUde cho cac dja phUdng vdng DBSCL i i rdt Idn Theo dy bio cda Trung tim Dy bao KTTV Trung Udng, khu vyc DBSCL td thing den thing 6/2017, lupng mUa giim, nang thap hdn trung binh nhidu nam trUdc diy Mua khd nam 2016-2017, tong lUpng ddng chiy sdng Md Cdng vd DBSCL se thidu hyt so vdi trung binh nhidu nim td 15% - 30% BDKH da lam cho tinh trang hgn hin, xdm nhip man trd ndn tram trpng va de dpa true tidp tdi ANNN d Vidt Nam Gia tang ddi ngheo: Theo bio cao cda IMHEN v i UNDP, vdng ven biln, Ddng bang sdng Hdng, Ddng bang sdng Cdu Long, v i mdt sd vung mien ndi dd bj tdn thUPng trudc cic thidn tai lidn quan ddn khf hiu, thuy van va BDKH NgUdi ngheo, ngudi din tdc, phy nd va tri em dupc xie dinh l i nhOng nhdm ngudi dd bj tdn thudng nhdt Cic hidn tupng eye doan nhu han hin, Id quet, sgt Id ddt, gid ldc, mua da inh hudng rat Idn ddn sin xudt ndng nghidp va cupc sdng eua cdng ddng dan cu ngheo Thuc te cho thay, ngudi dan d vdng ndng thdn thudng bj tic ddng manh me hdn so vdi ngudi din thinh phd trUde inh hudng cda eac hidn tupng thdi tidt eye doan va nhdng ngudi de bj tdn thypng thudng la nhufng ngudi ngheo Theo nghidn cdu cda Ngin hang the gidi, d DBSCL, da sd ngudi ngheo sinh sdng khu vuc thudng xuydn chju inh hudng cda thien tai, ehl ed 29% ngUdi khdng ngheo sdng khu vyc thydng xuydn bj ngap lyt Ngoai ra, cung theo sd lieu cda nghien cdu tren, ty Id gia IUdng thyc tang cung lidn quan tryc tidp ddn ty Id Tdi nguyen va M6I tru'ong | Ky - Tliang 3/2017 ddi ngheo, neu g i i Wdng thdc tang Idn 10% d Viet Nam thi ty Id ddi ngheo tUdng dng tang 0,29% Cd t h i thdy, BDKH la mdi de dpa Idn ddi vdi ngUdi ngheo, cd the gdy nhieu he lyy cho xa hdi Mat vi$c lint vi di cU: BDKH tie ddng den eic ngudn lyc sinh kd nhay c i m vdi hau nha ndng nghiep, lam nghidp, diem nghiep, thdy sin , diy la nhOng ITnh vyc kinh td the mgnh cda vdng DBSCL T i c ddng ciia BDKH lam cho lyc lUpng lao ddng mat vide lam hoac chuyen doi sang cac nginh nghd khic va thudng ed xu hUdng rui ro hdn Diy cung la mdt cac nguydn nhin chfnh d i n tdi tinh trang di cu hidn Bao c i o cua Oy ban Lien Chfnh phd vd BDKH (IPCC) da kdt luin, tie ddng eua BDKH kdt hpp vdi tdc dd tang nhanh dan sd tgi nhOng vdng bj inh hUdng bdi hiim hpa khf h i u thi ning xiy di cu tUdng lai se cao hdn, v i vide t i i djnh cu lau dii cang trd ndn cdn thiet hdn BDKH da, dang v i se din tdi tinh trang mat cho d v i di cu d mdt so khu vyc bj i n h hudng nang ne Khi tai nguydn ddt bj thu hpp nude biln ding, cic thim hpa ti; nhidn nhu ldc xoiy, lu lyt, hgn hin tidp tyc diin vdi eUdng dO cao, sd lupng ngudi mat cho tang Idn, cac dang sinh kd phy thudc vao he sinh thai mat di se din tdi tinh trang di cu vTnh viln hoac tam thdi Nguy cd d$c bidt nghiem trpng ddi vdi finh vi,(c ndng nghidp, tac ddng manh me nhat tdi c i c nhdm ngheo nhdt, nhdm ngudi ydu thd De xudt mpt so g i i i phap nham b i o d i m an ninh qudc gia trudc bien ddi Ithi h|u Cd t h i nhan thay, hidn nay, dien bidn BDKH da va dang tic dpng cdng gay g i t din ANQG, gay suy yeu ndn kinh t^ i n h hudng den ANLT, ANNN, ANKT, gia tang ddi nghdo, di cu, td dd gia tang bat dn ehfnh trj, t h i m ehf trd t h i n h nguy cd cho c i c eupe xung dot v i chidn tranh Vdi each nhin nhan BDKH khdng ehl ed t i c ddng cd hgi, m i cung l i cd hdi can p h i i t i n dyng d l ddi mdi cdng nghe, tai ed cau nen kinh td, phong t r i n h g i i m thieu rui ro , Viet Nam edn chu trpng tdi mdt sd g i i i phap sau d i y : Thd nhit, xay dyng, h o i n thidn he thdng chinh sach, g i i i phap ve dng phd vdi BDKH To chdc thuc hidn tdt chien lupe, chinh s i c h , c i c ehUdng trinh myc tidu qudc gia ve BDKH, t r i i n khai Ke hoach C h i u thd sdng Cdu Long, c i e nhiem vy vd khoa hpc, cdng nghe Day mgnh thyc hien c i c cam kdt qudc td vd BDKH Nang cao nang luc du bao, c i n h bao phdng chdng thidn tai, chu ddng dng phd vdi BDKH Thd hai, g i i i quydt mdt c i c h hai hoa, ddng bd mdi lien he gida p h i t trien kinh te vdi b i o vd mdi trudng, nham g i i m nh^ bidn ddi khf h i u Nang cao nang lye cda nen kinh td dd tang sdc chju dung ddi vdi BDKH, qua vide doi mdi md hinh t i n g trudng, hudng tdi tang trudng xanh, dau tuxanh; ed cau Igi ndn kinh td, lua chpn c i c nganh kinh td phd hpp de tap trung p h i t triin, khai t h i c nhdng ngudn lpi t i e dpng cda BDKH mang Igi; n i n g cao tfnh thidt thyc va hidu q u i lien kdt vung tdng t h i nen kinh td, chuyen ddi gidng c i y trdng, vat nudi Thd ba, xay dyng chien lupe d i i han vdi myc tidu chdt lUpng, hieu q u i , b i o d i m an ninh IUdng thuc mpi hoan c i n h Cdn xem xet vdn dd chien lupe dai hgn xudt k h i u Ida ggo eua Vidt Nam, ed the nghidn cdu thay the bang cac loai hinh khac Nghien cdu, chuyen ddi sang cdy trdng va chan nudi ddi vdi ddt s i n xuat CO hidu q u i kem; chuyen sang nudi trdng thuy s i n va cac logi hinh phd hpp khac ddi vdi vung ddt trung ven bien t i c ddng cua BDKH v i nUdc bien dang Tang cUdng cac bidn phap vd sinh dich t i , chUdng trinh b i o vd sdc khde cho ngUdi d i n Thd tu, nghidn cdu va ap dyng cac g i i i phap ky thuat nham thi'ch dng vdi BDKH, dd cdn didu chinh mua vy, didu chinh dja ban s i n xudt, nghien cdu va ap dyng e i c gidng Ida ed k h i nang chdng chju, i p dyng cac he thdng canh t i e phu hdp d l g i i m rui ro, khai t h i c I0i thd ty nhidn Nghidn cdu va ap dung e i c bidn phap nham g i i m p h i t t h i i , g i i m thieu t i e dpng eua BDKH Thd biy, d i y manh hpp t i c qudc te vd dng phd vdi BDKH, chd ddng tim kidm sy hd trd, giup dS ve ky t h u i t , kinh nghiem, t i i chi'nh cda eac qudc gia va td chdc trdn the gidi nham dng phd vdi bidn ddi hau Tidp tyc t i n g cudng t\0p t i e qudc td vdi cac nudc Oy hdi Md Cdng va Trung Qudc d l cung chia sk Idi ich chung vide phat t r i i n va thjnh vupng chung cda c i khu vuc theo Hidp djnh Me Cong 1995, ky ket song phUdng vdi tdng qudc gia hay da phUdng Thd nim, soat quy hogch thdy lpi, ndng nghidp, nudi trdng thuy s i n , lam nghidp, cdp nude sinh hogt thi'ch dng vdi thdi tidt cue doan v i hidn tupng syt ldn, xdi Id Phdi hpp vdi c i c nganh, ITnh vyc lidn quan xay dung ke hogch q u i n ly t i i nguyen nudc T h i n h lap cac khu vuc b i o vd trUde lu, xdi Id, x i m nhap man, ddng thdi chu dpng kiem s o i t ngudn nUde phyc vy cho s i n xuat ndng nghidp va cdng nghidp hda ndng thdn Quy hogch, x i y dyng v i hoan thidn he thdng cac cong trinh gid nudc ngpt ddng bang Thd siu, thyc hidn quy hogch s i n xudt va cd kd hogch sap xdp Igi cac cym d i n cu theo c i e kjch b i n BDKH Dau tu phat trien he thdng ning phong hd va x i y dilng cd sd hg tang, dgc bidt la he thdng thdy lpi, dudng s i , nham dng phd vdi BDKH Tang cudng trdng rdng c h i n sdng vung ven bien, xdy dd chan sdng, ke bd_, d l hgn chd xdi Id, sut Idn ddt, xdm nhap man Xdy di/ng va td chdc thue hidn co hieu q u i phUdng i n phdng chay chOa chay rdng trdn dja ban Dau tu cd sd hg tang, b i o vd mdi trudng khu vyc midn nui, ndng thdn va ven b i l n , ndi tdp trung da sd ngudi dan ngheo, ddi tupng d i bj tdn thUdng nhat trUde Thd tim, d i y mgnh cdng t i e tuydn truyen, phd bidn de ngudi d i n ed day dd thdng tin va hieu biet ve bidn ddi hau, e i c hidn tupng thdi tidt cue doan, nham phdng t r i n h va n i n g cao nang luc dng phd Khuydn khich, nang cao vai trd cua cdng ddng dng phd vdi BDKH Tai li^u tham k h i o Qudc hpi nudc Cdng hoa xa hoi chu nghTa Viet Nam (2004), Luit An ninh qudc gia Bp Tai nguyen va Moi tnidng (2012) Bio mdi tn/dng qudc gia Bd Tai nguyen va Moi trudng (2016), Kjch bin biin ddi hiu vi nudc biin ding cho Vl$t Nam, NXB Tai nguydn Mdi trudng va B i n dd Viet Nam, Ha Ndi Tdng eye Thdng ke (2016), Nidn giim thdng kd Vidt Nam 2015, NXB Thdng kd Ha Npi Tong eye Thdng kd (2011), Dl/ bao din sd Vidt Nam 20092049, NXB Thdng kd Ha Ndi IMHEN va UNDP (2015), Bio dac bidt cua Viet Nam vi quin ly rui ro thidn tai vi hign tugng ci/c doan nhim thuc diy thidt dng vdi biin doi hau Uy ban Lien Chinh phu vd Bien ddi hau IPCC (2014), Bio dinh gii lin thd 5.M Tai nguyen va Moi tru-ong | Ky - Tiling 3/2017 ... dd man dupe da tang trdn 40/00, tham chi cd noi cao tdi 200/00 Trong giai doan nhieu nim gan ddy, mua khd d khu vyc DBSCL trd nen khac nghidt hdn, tinh hinh han han vd xam nhap man hang nam cd... an ninh qudc gia trudc bien ddi Ithi h|u Cd t h i nhan thay, hidn nay, dien bidn BDKH da va dang tic dpng cdng gay g i t din ANQG, gay suy yeu ndn kinh t^ i n h hudng den ANLT, ANNN, ANKT, gia. .. khdng the dy doan Viet Nam cd thi bj thidt hai len tdi khoing 17 tl USD /nam Ddng bang sdng Hdng v i Ddng bang sdng Cdu Long la hai khu vuc se chju inh hudng nang nd nhat bdi BDKH An ninh ngudn nude: