AI SUPER POWERS china, silicon valley, AND THE new world order KAI - FU LEE $ 28.00 higher in canada KAI-FU LEE — ONE OF THE WORLD’S MOST RESPECTED EXPERTS ON AI AND CHINA — REVEALS THAT CHINA HAS SUDDENLY CAUGHT UP TO THE UNITED STATES AT AN ASTONISHINGLY RAPID AND UNEXPECTED PACE In AI Superpowers, Lee argues powerfully that because of the unprecedented developments in artificial intelligence, dramatic changes will be happening much sooner than many of us have expected Indeed, as the U.S.-China competition in AI begins to heat up, Lee urges America and China to both accept and embrace the great responsibilities that come with significant technological power Most experts already say that AI will have a devastating impact on blue-collar jobs But Lee predicts that Chinese and American AI will have a strong impact on white-collar jobs as well Is universal basic income the solution? In Lee’s opinion, probably not But he provides a clear description of which jobs will be affected and how soon, which jobs can be enhanced with AI, and, most important, how we can provide solutions to some of the most profound changes in human history that are coming soon “ Having worked closely with both of them, Kai-Fu’s brilliance for understanding and explaining the new AI world order is comparable to how Steve Jobs explained how personal computing would fundamentally change humanity Kai-Fu’s book is that good.” — JOHN SCULLEY, former CEO, Apple 0918 AI SUPERPOWERS AI SUPERPOWERS ★ chin a , s il ic on va l l e y, a nd t he ne w w or l d or de r Kai-Fu Lee Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Boston  New York 2018 Copyright © 2018 by Kai-Fu Lee All rights reserved For information about permission to reproduce selections from this book, write to trade.permissions@hmhco.com or to Permissions, Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Publishing Company, Park Avenue, 19th Floor, New York, New York 10016 hmhco.com Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Names: Lee, Kai-Fu, author Title: AI superpowers : China, Silicon Valley, and the new world order /Kai-Fu Lee Description: Boston : Houghton Mifflin Harcourt, [2018] | Includes bibliographical references and index Identifiers: LCCN 2018017250 (print) | LCCN 2018019409 (ebook) | ISBN 9781328545862 (ebook) | ISBN 9781328546395 (hardcover) ISBN 9781328606099 (international edition) Subjects: LCSH: Artificial intelligence — Economic aspects — China | Artificial intelligence — Economic aspects — United States Classification: LCC HC79.I55 (ebook) | LCC HC79.I55 L435 2018 (print) | DDC 338.4/700630951 — dc23 LC record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2018017250 Book design by Chrissy Kurpeski Printed in the United States of America DOC 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 To Raj Reddy, my mentor in AI and in life CONTENTS Introduction ix China’s Sputnik Moment Copycats in the Coliseum 22 China’s Alternate Internet Universe 51 A Tale of Two Countries 81 The Four Waves of AI 104 Utopia, Dystopia, and the Real AI Crisis 140 The Wisdom of Cancer 175 A Blueprint for Human Coexistence with AI 197 Our Global AI Story 226 Acknowledgments 233 Notes 234 Index 242 ... Floor, New York, New York 10016 hmhco.com Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Names: Lee, Kai-Fu, author Title: AI superpowers : China, Silicon Valley, and the new world order /Kai-Fu... of them, Kai-Fu’s brilliance for understanding and explaining the new AI world order is comparable to how Steve Jobs explained how personal computing would fundamentally change humanity Kai-Fu’s... at the relative strengths of China and the United States in these four categories, we can predict the emerging balance of power in the AI world order Both of the transitions described on the