Header Page of 258 BO GIAO DUC VA DAO TAO TRUONG DAI HOC KINH TE QUOC DAN fcm•oacQ PHAN TIEN NGOC TAC HONG CCJA DA DANG HOA MAT HANG XUAT KHAU DEN TANG TIRLYO'NG KINH TE VI ET NAM Chuyen nganh: Kinh phat trien Ma so: 62.31.01.05 LUAN AN TIEN Si KINH TE Ngtrefi hwolig d&n khoa hoc: PGS.TS PHAN THI NHItM PGS.TS NGUYEN THI MINH HA NOI - 2014 Footer Page of 258 Header Page of 258 LO'I CAM DOAN Toi xin cam loan day la cong trinh nghien cfru khoa hoc d6c lap dm toi Cac thong tin, so lieu Juan an la trung thuc va co ngu6n g6c r6 rang cu the Ket qua nghien ciru Juan an chua tong du9c cong 136 bat 14 cong trinh nghien cfru nao khac Tic gia LOn an Footer Page of 258 Header Page of 258 MUC LUC ii MUC LUC DANH MUC CAC BANG DANH MUC SO DO VA BIEU DO vi DANH MUC CAC Tif VIET TAT vii PHAN MO DAU viii CHIYONG 1: CO SO LY LUAN NGHIEN CfrU TAC BONG CUA DA DANG HOA MAT HANG XUAT KHAU DEN TANG TRU'ONG KINH TE 1.1 Tang trtrerng kinh to va cac nhan to tic Ong 1.1.1 Khai niem tang trtramg kinh to 1.1.2 MOt so thtrac thu nhap Aid tang twang kinh to chti yeti 1.1.3 Cac nhan to tac Ong tai tang truing kinh to 1.2 Cu sii, 15T luau ve da dong hoa mat hang xuat khan 1.2.1 Quan niem ve da clang h6a va tap trung h6a mat hang xuat khan 1 11 11 1.2.2 Phan loci da clang h6a mat hang xuat khau 1.2.3 Do hieing da clang h6a mat hang xuat khau 1.2.4 Cac yeti to anh huong den da clang h6a mat hang xuat khau da (long hoa mat hang xuat 1.3.Co.s& khoa hoc nghien cum tac &Ong khan den tang truirng kinh to 1.3.1 Ca so 1y thuyet ve tac Ong cua da clang h6a mat hang xuat khau doi vai tang truth-1g kinh to 15 1.3.2 Kenh tac dOng cda da dang hoa mat hang xuat khau den tang truang kinh to 1.3.3 TOng quan nghien thu thuc nghiem tac, dOng cua da clang hoa mat hang xuat khau den tang truang kinh to 1.3.4 MO hinh va gia thiet nghien thu CHIYONG 2: THI1C TRANG DA DANG HOA MAT HANG XUAT KHAU CUA VIET NAM GIAI DOAN 1991-2011 2.1 Tling quan xuat khan ciia Viet Nam giai down 1991-2011 2.1.1 Quy mO va t6c dO tang truong xuat khdu 2.1.2 Ca call mat hang xuat khau 2.1.3 Co can xuat khau phan theo khu vuc kinh to 2.1.4 Ca cau thi truOng xuat khau 2.2 Phan tich thtyc da dong hOa mat hang xuat klAu dm Viet Nam Footer Page of 258 ii 17 22 31 31 39 41 49 54 54 54 56 58 60 65 Header Page of 258 2.2.1 Phan tich da dang h6a dua tren th6ng ke s6 luting chfing loci mat hang 65 2.2.2 Phan tich da clang hoa dua tren chi s6 Herfindahl (HI) 66 2.2.3 Phan tich da clang hoa dua tren ty xuat khAu san ph'am ch'e bien 68 2.2.4 Phan tich da clang h6a dtra tren chi s6 Theil Etropy 73 2.2.5 Phan tich da clang Ma lgi the so sanh cua cac mat hang xuat khau 75 2.3 Dinh gii chung ve da d#ng hoa mat hang xuat khAu cua WO Nam 78 2.3.1 Nhung mat tich ctrc 78 2.3.2 Nhang han che, thach fink 80 2.3.3 Cac nguyen nhan anh huang den da clang h6a mat hang xuat khau dia Viet Nam CHVONG 3: DANH GIA TAC BONG CUA DA DANG HOA MAT HANG XUAT KHAU DEN TANG TRIXCING KINH TE VIVT NAM 3.1 T6ng quan tang trusEeng kinh t6 Vqt Nam 81 87 87 3.1.1 Quy mo va t6c dO tang truang chung cua nen kinh to 87 3.1.2 Quy mo va t6c dO tang truang cua cac nganh 90 3.2 Phan tich dinh tinh taccrdOng da d#ng h6a mat hang xuat khAu den tang trtromg kinh to WO Nam 94 3.2.1 M6i quan he giaa da clang h6a chung 14 mat hang xuat khau va tang truang kinh to 94 3.2.2 M6i quan he gifia chi s6 tap trung hoa mat hang xuat khau Herfindahl va tang twang kinh to 96 3.2.3 M6i quan he glib chi so da clang h6a mat hang xuat khau Theil Etropy va tang truang kinh to 99 3.2.4 Mo'i quan he gift tS71e san pham ch'e bien xuat khau va tang truang kinh to 100 3.2.5 M6i quan he giita da clang h6a lgi the so sanh va tang twang kinh to 101 3.3 Phan tich dinh luvng tac Ong cua da dang hoa mat hang xuat khan den tang tru6ng kinh to WO Nam 103 3.3.1 Vai net ve mo hinh va phuang phap uac luting 103 3.3.2 MO to cac bien va so lieu 3.3.3 Dinh lugng mo hinh va phan tich ket qua 106 3.4 Danh gia chung tac Ong cua da d#ng hoa mat hang xuat khan d6n tang truomg kinh to VI* Nam Footer Page of 258 iii 108 120 Header Page of 258 CHU'ONG 4: DINH HIJONG DA DANG HOA MAT HANG XUAT KHAU VA CAC GIAI PHAP THVC HItN NHAM THUC DAY TANG TRIfoNG KINH TE VIET NAM 125 4.1 Can co' dinh huovg da d#ng h6a mat hang xuat khau dm Viet Nam den nam 2020, tam nhin 2030 125 4.1.1 Xu the phat trien dia nen kinh to toan cau tac dOng tad da clang h6a mat hang xuat khau thoi gian toi 125 4.1.2 Dinh huOng chien ltr9c phat trien kinh to Viet Nam den nam 2020 129 4.1.3 Dinh huang chuyen dOi mo hinh tang twang kinh to cilia Viet Nam 130 4.1.4 Dinh huang xuat khau ciia Viet Nam 131 4.2 Quan diem ya dinh hu&ng thtfc hien da d4ng hoa mat hang xuat khau den nam 2020, tam nhin 2030 133 4.2.1 Quan diem thuc hien da clang h6a mat hang xuat khau 133 4.2.2 Dinh huong thuc hien da clang hoa mat hang xuat khau nham thuc day tang truang kinh to Viet Nam 135 4.3 MCA so giai phap thkre hien da d4ng hoa mat hang xuat khAu nhim thuc day tang truing kinh to Viet Nam 139 4.3.1 Giai phap xac dinh va hinh danh muc mat hang xuat khau mui nh9n de da clang hoa theo chieu sau 139 4.3.2 Giai phap ve dau to thuc hien da clang hOa mat hang xuat khau 141 4.3.3 Giai phap nang cao chat luvng ngtiOn nhan luc dap irng yeu cau da dang h6a mat hang xuat khau 144 4.3.4 Giai phap phat trien khoa hoc cong nghe nham da dang hoa mat hang xuat khau 145 4.3.5 Giai phap phat trien cong nghiephO trg nham thuc hien da clang h6a mat hang xuat khau 147 4.3.6 Giai phap ve tai chinh, tin dung nham da clang hoa mat hang xuat khau 149 4.3.7 Giai phap hoan thien co the chinh sach quan 1Y va dieu hanh xuat khau 150 4.3.8 Giai phap xfic lien thuang mai thuc hien da clang h6a mat hang xuat khau 153 KET LUNN 155 DANH MIJC CAC CONG TRINH CUA TAC GIA 157 DANH Ml(JC TAI LIEU THAM KHAO 158 PHLJ IAJC 167 Footer Page of 258 iv Header Page of 258 DANH MUC CAC BANG Bang 2.1: Co cau mg hang xuat khau dm V* Nam giai doan 1995-2011 57 Bang 2.2: Ca cdu xuat khau phan theo khu vuc kinh to giai doan 2000-2011 59 Bang 2.3: Cac thi trung xuat khau hang h6a leen nhat cila V* Nam 62 Bang 2.4: Chi s6 tap trung h6a mat hang xuat khau Herfindahl cua cac nuac can Saharan va Bong A 67 Bang 2.5: He s6 Mang quan hang Spearman dOi vai chi s6 PRODY va RCA 72 Bang 2.6: Da clang hoa giita cac nh6m hang va da dang h6a not 116 nh6m hang 74 Bang 3.1: Gia tri san xuat va t6c dO tang truang cua cac nh6m nganh kinh to o V* Nam 90 Bang 3.2: 1(6t qua ki6m dinh tinh citing cua cac bin so mo hinh 108 Bang 3.3: K6t qua u6.c lugng tac &Ong cua da clang h6a mat hang xuat khAu d6n tang truang GDP 109 Bang 3.4: Kim dinh m6i quan he nhan qua Granger giaa da clang h6a mg hang xuat khau voi lao &Ong va dau tu 111 Bang 3.5: K6t qua ware lugng tac &Ong cua da clang h6a theo chi'eu rOng den tang truong GDP 116 Bang 3.6: K6t qua uac luting tac dOng cua da clang h6a theo chi"au sau d6n tang trugng GDP 117 Bang 3.7: Kim dinh m6i quan he nhan qua Granger Oita da clang hoa mat hang xuat khAu voi lao dOng va dau tu 118 Footer Page of 258 Header Page of 258 DANH MUC SO DO VA BIEU DO So dO 1.1: MO hinh tong cung, tang cdu cila nen kinh to So dO 1.2: Quan niem ve da dpg h6a xuat khdu cila Alberto Amurgo-Pacheco va Martha Denisse Pierola (2008) So 1.3: Cac giai down da dpg h6a mat hang xuat khdu Bieu 2.1: Tec dO tang tnrang xuat khdu, GDP va tST le XK/GDP Bieu dO 2.2: Co cau mat hang xuat khau cua Viet Nam thai kST 1991-2011 Bieu 2.3: Co cAu xuat khdu phan theo khu vuc kinh to sau da tach xuat khdu dau tho Bieu dO 2.4: Co cdu thi trung xuat khAu cda Viet Nam Bleu dO 2.5: Se luang chfing loci mat hang xuat khdu cua Viet Nam giai don 2001-2011 Bleu 2.6: Chi so tap trung h6a mat hang xuat khdu Herfindahi oda Viet Nam Bleu 2.7: Ty mat hang the bien tong se mat hang xuat khdutheo bang phan loci tieu chuan ngoai thuang S ham Wong ding nghe cac mat hang the bien XK Bieu dO 2.8: Ti Bleu dO 2.9: Mdc dO phirc tap hay nang sudt cua giO hang hoa xuat khAu Viet Nam Bleu dO 2.10: Chi se PRODY cac nhom hang xuat khdu dia Viet Nam Bleu 2.11: Chi se da dpg boa mat hang xuat khdu Theil Etropy Bieu dO 2.12: SO lugng chi:mg 14 mat hang c6 RCA cao cua Viet Nam 10 12 14 54 56 60 61 65 67 68 70 71 73 74 Bieu dO 2.13: Thay d6i co cdu lgi the so sanh theo nhom hang 76 77 Bleu dO 2.14: Thay doi co cAn lqi the so sanh theo ham lugng khoa hoc-cong nghe 78 Bleu dO 3.1: Tiic dO tang truing kinh to Viet Nam 1991-2011 87 Bi4u dO 3.2: Da dpg hoa chi:mg lo4i mat hang xuat khdu va kim ng4ch xuat khau cila Viet Nam 95 13C4u 3.3: Da dpg hoa chung 14 mat hang xuat khdu va tec dO tang GDP cda Viet Nam Bi6'u dO 3.4: Chi so tap trung hoa Herfindahi va tang truing kinh t6 Bieu dO 3.5: 1\46i quan he gida chi se Herfindahi va tang truing kinh to cua Malaixia va Thai Lan Bleu 3.6: Mei quan he gida chi se Herfindahi va tang truing kinh to cila Chile va Uganda Bleu dO 3.7: Chi se) da dqng hoa mat hang xuat khdu Theil Etropy va tang truing kinh to Bieu dO 3.8: Ty le hang xudt khdu the bien va tang truing kinh t6 Bieu dO 3.9: Ty le mat hang xuat khdu c6 lgi the so sanh hien him va tang truing kinh t6 Bleu dO 3.10: Phan dng cda tang truing GDP tnroc cac cu shock Bleu dO 3.11: Phan img cda GDP truck cac cu shock tir da d4ng boa theo chieu rOng va chieu sau Footer Page of 258 vi 96 97 98 98 100 101 102 114 119 Header Page of 258 DANH MUC CAC Tir VIET TAT ASEAN Hiep hOi cac nu& Dong Nam A ARDL Tr6 phan phi to h6i quy BCHTW Ban chap hanh Trung uong BTA Hiep dinh thuang mai song phuang vai Hoa Ky ED Da clang h6a mat hang xuat khau EU Lien minh chau Au HED Da clang h6a mat hang xuat khau theo chieu rOng HO Ly thuyet Hecksher-Ohlin HI Chi s6 tap trung h6a Herfindhal HS He th6ng thuang mai hai hem GDP T6ng san pham qu6c not GMM Phuang phap momen tong quat GSO T6ng cvc th6ng ke IMF Quy" tien to qu6c to FDI Dau to truc tiep nu& ngodi M2 Cung tin M2 NIEs Cac nen kinh t6 mgi not OLS Phuang phap binh phuong nho nhat RCA Lai the so sanh hien him SITC Phan loci thuang mai chuan qu6c t SNA He th6ng tai khoan qu6c gia TheilT Chi so Theil Etropy TFP Nang suat cac nhan to tong hgp USD DO la My UN Lien hgp qu6c VAR MO hinh vec to to h6i quy VECM VED MO hinh vec to hieu chinh sai s6 Da clang hOa mat hang xuat khau theo chi'eu sau WB Ngan hang the giai WTO T6 chirc thuang mai the giai XK Xuat khau Footer Page of 258 vii Header Page of 258 PHAN MO DAU Tinh cap thitt ctia cue tai Trong lich sir phat trien kinh to hoc, m6i quan he gifia xuat khAu va tang truang kinh to la chit de dugc nghien cdu tir rat sam va nhanh chong thu but &mg dao nhieu hoc gia not tieng Ngay tir tiled Adam Smith (1723-1790), the phAm not tieng "nguein g6c su giAu c6 cua cac dan t8c", A.Smith da" nhAn manh tam quan tong cua viec xuat khAu hang h6a nhu mot nhan to san xuat gia tri thong du, va la mot phuong tin de ma Ong thi truang, dong thai gOp phAn cai thien phan cong lao Ong va nang cao nang su'At lao dOng [1] Ke tir dO den nay, d5c biet tir nhang nom 1960s tra lai day, to h6a thuang mai, thgc hien chinh sach huang ngoai va tittle dAy xuat khAu duqc coi la d8ng luc phat trien cita nen kinh te Tuy nhien tr'en thgc te, khong phai ntrac nao ding thgc hien cong chiL lugc Co mac thgc hien kha cong chiL lugc tang twang duo vao xuat khAu (cac nen kinh te moi not a Dong A NIEs), nhung cling c6 nhieu queic gia dang phat trien khac a Nam A, chau My latin lai thgc hien khong may cong Dieu (la dan den cu8c tranh luan soi not ve vai trO cua xuat khAu d6i \Ted tang truang kinh te Va mot gia thiet dirge nhieu hoc gia d5t la: c6 le vai to cua xuat khAu d6i vai tang truang kinh to khong phai chi la quy mo, kh6i lugng xuat khAu, ma quan tong hart dO chinh la cL true r6 hang hoa xuat khAu cita qu6c De lap Juan va chtng minh gia thiet nay, cac truang phai ly7 thuyet d5 di sau tim hieu cau true re) hang h6a xuat khau va tac demg cila no den tang truang kinh te Nhieu nghien cuu cho rang que)c gia cO cAu true r6 hang h6a xuat kh'Au da clang han se it bi ton thuang han truck nhung bier' Ong ye gia ca, nhu cAu cua thi truang the gied; nhang nuac c6 nhieu san phAm cite bien han, co ham luang khoa hoc cong nghe cao han se c6 lgi the han trao d6i buon ban Wei nhung nuac chit yeu xuat khAu cac mat hang the), sa che, tham dung lao d8ng 016 thong Chinh vi vay, nhieu nguai ggi )'7 rang cac qu6c gia dang phat trien nen ma remg san xuat nhieu chi:mg loci san phAm xuat khAu, da clang h6a co cL mat hang xuat khAu de giant thieu nhang the Ong tieu cgc str bien demg ve thi truang, d'ong thai gop phAn cai thien he s6 trao doi thuang mai (terms of trade), tat) hieu Ung lan too, nang cao gia tri hang xuat khAu thong qua da clang hoa theo chieu sau Viet Nam-m8t que)c gia dang phat trien a Dong Nam A, sau tin hanh d6i mai nen kinh te (1986), Bang va Nha nuac da chit truong thgc hien chien lugc phat trien kinh te huang manh ye xuat khAu Van kin Doi he)i Bai bieu toan queic ran thir VI kh'ang dinh: cong cu8c de)i mai truck mat phai "tap trung sire ngtr61, sic cua vao viec thy'c hien cho &rat ba chtrang trinh myc tieu ve hrang thvc-thtrc ph a' m, hang Footer Page of 258 viii Header Page 10 of 258 tieu dung va hang xuat nhap khau "[2] Tiep do, tai 116i nghl Dai h6i dai bieu toan qu6c Oita nhiemlkhoa VII, Dang va nha nuac da xac dinh, ltra chgn chien lugc phat trien kinh to "htrang manh ve xuat khau, clang theft thay the nhap khau bang nhfrng san pham nu& san xuat c6 hi eu qua "[2] ChiL lugc tiep tvc dugc quan triet cac l(ST Dai lt6i VIII, IX, X va (lac biet Dai h6i dai bieu toan qu6c lAn thi.r XI nhAn manh: "Day manh va khuyen khich xuat khau, dac biet la &tang mat hang moi, san pham the bien, ch'j tao cc; ham luvng khoa hoc cong nghe cao, gia tri gia tang cao; giam manh xuat khau nguyen lieu, khoang san, san pham tho."[2] Thuc hien chic truang do, sau km 27 nam dai mad, hog Ong xuAt khau cua nu& to da dat dugc nhang nhang tqu rat dang khich le Quy ma kim ngach xuAt khAu nam 2012 tang hon 145 lAn so vai nam 1986 XuAt khAu binh quan dAu nguai tang tir 11,7 USD/nguai nam 1985, len 393,8 USD nam 2005 va dat 1306 USD nam 2012 Co cAu mat hang xuAt khAu co nhang chuyen bien tich cgc San phAm xuAt khAu cang da dang va phong phu hon Ben canh nhang mat hang khoang san, nong san xuAt kh'Au, da xuAt hien cang nhieu mat hang xuat khAu mai nhu: 'tong san the bien, det may, da giAy, may mac, thiet b] diL, dien tir Qua trinh da dang h6a mat hang xuAt khAu da g6p phAn dem lai nhirng thuan led de nen kinh t6 tang truang nhanh va on dinh nhang nam qua Tuy nhien, nhin tong the co cAu xuAt khAu cua Viet Nam van chn y'eu la cac mat hang co ngu6n g6c tir tai nguyen thien nhi'en, gia cong xuAt khAu, gia tri gia tang thAp Nhang mat hang co dac diem la: d6 co gian cua cAu theo thu nhap thAp; gia ca thuang co xu twang giam tuong quan vai gia ca cua cac mat hang the bien, chlu nhieu "thua thiet" quan he trao d6i qu6c te, va lam tang nguy co can kiet tai nguyen Han 'lira, tap trung vao nhung nhom mat hang nen tang truang xuAt khAu cua Viet Nam khong on dinh, phu thu6c fat lan vao gia ca, nhu cAu th] truemg, chinh sach thuang mai qu6c to cua cac d6i tac [10], [44] Thirc t6 dat mot van de can nghien ciru la: lieu ca cau mat hang xuat khau cua Viet Nam CO thtrc str da clang hay khong? n'ju co thi xu &rang da clang h6a nhu the nao? mire da clang bao nhieu? va str da clang h6a anh luro.ng nhtr the nao den tang trtro.ng kinh te? J Tra lai nhang cau lied clang chinh la gop phAn xem xet lai vai tn.) cua xuAt khAu, dac biet la co cAu mat hang xuAt khAu d6i vai tang truang kinh to Viet Nam thai gian qua; d6ng thai la co sa de cac nha hoach dinh chinh sach tai co cAu mat hang xuAt khAu nham dam bao tang truang nhanh va ben \Tang cua nen kinh to theo duang thfic day xuat khau Xuat phat tix nhang 17 tren, nghien ciru sinh chon de tai: "Ttic d'Ong cua da dyng h6a melt hang xuat din tang tru'O'ng kinh to Viet Nam" lam luan an nghien cfru cua minh Footer Page 10 of 258 ix Header Page 167 of 258 qu6c td, tang kha Wang tham gia va canh tranh tren thi twang qu6c td, ma r6ng qui mo va nang cao gid tri hang hod xuat khau dia Viet Nam D6i vai van a nay, B6 Khoa hoc va cong nghe phai ding vai cac B6, nganh quan 13'7 san xuat nhu 136 C6ng Thuong, B6 tidn hanh khan truong viec Wing nghiep va phat tridn n6ng than, B6 Xay soat, xem xet he th6ng cac tieu chuan chat luting hang hod nuac de vira sira b6 sung cac tieu chuan chua dat yeu cAu thi tnrang qu6c td, vita xay dung, ban hanh mai cac tieu chuan ma tnrac chua co M6t didm rift ding can ltru y doi vai van de la khong nen thtrc hien mot each may mac - theo nghia la bat cir tieu chuan ap dung cho loaf san pliant hang hod nao ding can phai dap img dugc tieu chuan chung caa que)c td, vi nhu vay c6 thd la khong hien thtrc qua trinh tri'dn khai - ma can xem xet de xir 17 mot each thtrc sit ky luting va tidn hanh mot each bai ban, tang btr6c mot Tnrac mat co thd qui dinh tieu chu'An a mire trung,binh, dap Ung dugc yeu cau s6 d6i tac nhap khAu chinh doi vai mat hang do, tip se tirng btrac nang cao mire tieu chuan d phu hap vai sit ma rOng thi tnrang cling nhu kha nang dap img cua cac doanh nghiep san xuat nuac - Can tidp tuc hoan thien bidu thud quan va cat giam thud theo dung 1'6 trinh thtrc hien cam kdt h6i nh4p qu6c td D6ng th6i sira d6i, b6 sung cac sac thud va mire thud suat bidu thud xuat khau theo huong khuydn khich xuat khau cac mat hang cong nghiep chd bin sau, mat hang xuat kh'Au mai; tinh du cac ton that mai tnrang vao thud xuat khau (nhat la cac mat hang khoang san, n6ng, lam thily san) de giam dan da clang hoa mat hang theo chidu rOng, han chd tinh tang khai thac qua mire va "ban thao" tai nguyen qu6c gia Han chd xuat khau cac mat hang anh huang an da clang sinh hgc - Tidp tuc ay manh han nira viec cai tidn quy trinh, thu tuc hai quan, don gian hod thit tuc thu thud, hoan thud va kidm tra hai quan Cai each thii tuc va hien dai hod hai quan, tang cuang va chart chinh cong tac kidm tra sau thtrc hien cac nghiep vu thud va hai quan (Nu kidm); tang them mat hang xuat khau dugc mien kidm tra d'd nit ngan th6i gian va chi phi thtrc hien thii tuc hai quan xu6ng ngang bang vai cac nuac khu we - Tang cuang cac bien phap tao thuan lgi toan qu6c td, cong than fan vd tieu chuan chat lugng hang hod, dich vu ho trg thuong mai nham thnc day xuat khAu Tridn khai ky kat cac thOa thuan ve toan qu6c td qua ngan hang vai cac thi truang xuat khau hien dang gap khO khan giao dich va bao dam toan; 14 kdt cac thoa thuan song phuong va cong nhan lan ve kidm dich thus vat, tieu chuan ve sinh an toan thtrc pham vai cac nuac d6i tac Footer Page 167 of 258 152 Header Page 168 of 258 - Tie') tic and rang quyen kinh doanh va mo cua thi tnrang kinh doanh, phan ph6i hang hod, dich vu theo cac cam ket qu6c to ma Viet Nam la vien; bao dam nguyen tac binh clang hog dang kinh doanh cung ling cac dich vi 118 trg xuat khau tai Viet Nam; tirng kr& xod b6 tinh trang dac quyen kinh doanh dich vu ye buu chinh vien thong, nang lugng, bao hiem, giao thong, cang Nen, logistics de nang cao hieu qua hog dOng nhang linh vgc nay, gap phan giam chi phi kinh doanh, tap dieu kien de cac doanh nghiep da dang hoa san xuat va xuat khAu 4.3.8 Giai phap xtic tien thtrang mai thtyc hi?n da clang hoa mat hang xuat khiu De da clang hoa mat hang xuat khau, hog xfic tien thuang mai &mg vai tr.() rat quan Thgc to cho thay, neu doanh nghiep khong co dugc nhang th6ng tin can thiet ve nhu cau thi twang, gia ban, d6i tac, chinh sach thuang mai dm nuac nhap khau, ding nghe san xuat se han die rat lan den kha nang da dang hoa xuat khau cua doanh nghiep Vi vay, de day manh da dang h6a mat hang xuAt khau, chinh phu can nang cao hieu qua cong tac )(fie tien thuang mai ho trg doanh nghiep xuat khau Cu the la: - Tang cuang cong tac thu thap va ph6 bien thong tin cap nhat ve thi tnrang nuac so tai, cac rao can ky thuat, canh bao som nguy co bi ap dat kien ch6ng ban pha gia; cling nhu cac h6i chg, trien lam lan c6 uy tin, cac chuang trinh tru dai ve dAu tu, thuong mai cua mac tai danh cho doanh nghiep Viet Nam - Nang cao chat lugng va hieu qua dm cac chuong trinh xuc tien thuong mai qu6c gia, huang tam vao cac san pham mai, thi tnrang mai ma nuac c6 kha nang san xuat vai lugng lan D6i mai chat lugng cua viec xay dung va thvc hien chuang trinh xuc lien thuang mai qu6c gia hang nam; phi hap vai cac hog 'Tang 'the tien de to chirc cac chuang trinh lan lien nganh ve thuang mai - dau tu - du lich - van hoa nham quang bd hinh anh quac gia, ke ca viec thong qua cac kenh truyen thong quac - Day manh trien khai thgc hien Chuang trinh Thuong hieu qu6c gia nham quang ba hinh anh qu6c gia, gang bd san pham va xay dung thuang hieu nganh hang, san pham xuat khau tai cac thi truang xuat khau twig diem va co nhieu tiem nang d6i vai hang hoa Viet Nam Heir trg tham nhap thi truang nuac ngodi d6i yeti thuong hieu cac hang hoa dac tnrng thuac Chuang trinh thuong hieu qu6c gia tien tham gia cac h6i chg chuyen nganh (h6i chg de) go, h6i chg thily san ) khong tham gia cac h6i chg ma khong ro su quan tam thgc su cua cac d6i tac can huang den Chuan bi ky hien vat, tai lieu tieu chuan Icy thug kha nang san xuat va giao hang, mac gia c6 the thoa thuan tham gia h6i chg, giam thieu tinh trang hen tra lai sau nhu van thuang xay truOc day phuong dien khac, co the to chirc doan doanh Footer Page 168 of 258 153 Header Page 169 of 258 nghiep nuac ngoai vao Viet Nam giao dich mua hang; gi6i thieu san phAm cua Viet Nam va to chirc cac HOi nghi qu6c t6 nganh hang xuAt khAu tai Viet Nam - Cung co va nang cao hieu qua hoot dOng cna he th6ng cac ca quan lam cong tae xuc tien thuang mai T6 chirc lai he th6ng cac to chirc xuc lien thuang mai va co the cung cap thong tin thi truang, tu van dAu tu, thuang mai, tu van phop ludt, mai truang kinh doanh a trong, ngoai nude cho cong dOng doanh nghiep Ph6i hap tot han t6 chirc xnc tien ntrac veri ca quan dai dien Viet Nam er nude ngoai, cac t6 chirc hal quan cila nu& so tai cac viec x'dy dung va t6 chirc cac hoot dOng xfic tien thuang mai - Tang cuang vai tro, trach nhiem cua cac Tham tan Thuang mai tai cac nuac theo huang 1-18 tra tich cue han cho cac doanh nghiep xuAt khAu thong qua co the ph6i hap gift cac Hiep hOi nganh hang va cac Thuang vu Viet Nam tai nuac ngoai; thuang xuyen theo dOi tinh hinh, chu Ong phat hien cac thay d6i ve chinh sach, ca the quan ly nhdp khdu, kiem soot chAt luting ho4c nhang thOng tin b'At lqi d6i vai hang xuAt khAu chit dOng ph6i hap ngan ngira, giai quyet sam cac vu Viet Nam tai cac thi truang viec phat sinh; thuang xuyen theo dOi va c6 canh bao sam nguy ca hang xuat khAu cita V* Nam bi kien ch6ng ban pha gia, ch6ng try cap, to ye de chil Ong dOi pho, ngan ch'an; Hap tae vai cac doanh nghiep Viet Nam a nuarc ngoai de Mx tiep dua hang Viet Nam vao cac sieu thi, chai phan ph6i 16.n tai nu6c nhap khAu a - X'ay dung ca the tham van, ph6i hap thuang xuyen Oita cac BO, nganh, dia phuang, hiep hOi ve tinh hinh san xuAt, xuAt khAu cac mat hang de ding giai guy& kilo khan cho doanh nghiep; nghi'en cfru t6 elide cac Chuang trinh dieu tra du bao san luting, ton kho va luting tieu dimg nuac de co dinh huang cho san xuAt va xuAt khAu, d4c biet la cac mat hang xuAt khAu mai Ket 1u4n chtn:mg 4: Tren ca sa nhang van de 13'r ludn trinh bay a Chuang 1, thgc tang xuAt khAu va da dang 116a mat hang xuAt khAu cua Viet Nam &rat phan tich a chuang 2, ding nhu nhang phan tich danh gia tac dOng cua da clang h6a mat hang xuAt khAu den tang truang kinh tea Chuang Chuang dm ludn an da dua quan diem va phac thao dinh huang thgc hien da clang Ma mat hang xuAt khAu nhdm thuc dAy tang truang kinh to V* Nam den nom 2020, tam nhin 2030 \TM cac not dung chinh la: phuang thirc dux hien da clang hoa mat hang xuAt khAu, phat trien cac mat hang xuAt khAu va to trinh dux hien DOng thai ludn an da de xuAt nhom giai phap ca ban de thicrc hien da clang hoa mat hang xuAt khAu nham thfic dAy tang tnramg kinh to nhanh va ben yang cila Viet Nam thai gian Footer Page 169 of 258 154 Header Page 170 of 258 KET LUAN Luan an vai tieu da: "Mc &Ong act da (king h6a mat hang xuat khan din tang trtrong kinh to Viet Nam" da tap trung nghien ciru co sa lY luan va da clang hoa mat hang xuat khau va tac &Ong dm da dang h6a mat hang xuat khau den tang tnrang kinh ta Tren co sa phan tich, danh gia mire d'O, xu huang da clang hoa mat hang xuat khau cila Viet Nam tir d'Oi mai clan va kat qua uoc lugng tac dOng ciia da clang h6a mat hang xuat khau den tang truang kinh to Viet Nam thai gian qua, tit luan an da da xuat quan diem, dinh huang va mot so giai phap thuc hian da clang hoa mat hang xuat khau nham dam bao tang truang kinh to nhanh va ban yang theo dung thfic day xuat khau dm Via Nam nhang nam tad Cu the, luan an da dat dugc nhang kat qua sau: - Luan an da N thong hoa dugc co sa ly luan v'a da clang hoa mat hang xuat khau tren cac chiau canh khac va cac nhan to anh huang den da dang hoa mat hang xuat luang da clang h6a mat hang xuat khau Xay dung dugc mot so chi tieu chili yau a khau - Luan an dd tong quan mot cach c6 N thOng cac truang phai ly thuy'at luan ban va tac &Ong cilia da dang Ma mat hang xuat khau den tang truang kinh ta, nham tao khung phan tich ly thuyat cho luan an - Luan an da tong quan mot each c6 N thOng cac nghien cim thuc nghiam va tac dOng cilia da clang hoa mat hang xuat khau den tang truang kinh to tren the giai Tren co sa dO chi dinh dugc mo hinh va phugng phap uac lugng phi' hop vai diau kin so lieu va dac diem kinh t6 cilia V* Nam - Luan an a phan tich thuc tang xuat khau va da clang h6a mat hang xuat khau cilia Viet Nam bao Om: da clang h6a theo chiau rOng, da clang hoa theo chiau sau, da clang h6a lgi the so sanh; Tinh toan mix (10 da clang h6a va phan tich xu huang da clang h6a mat hang xuat khAu cilia Viet Nam nhang nam qua Kat qua cho thay cau true mat hang xuat khau dm Viet Nam khong chi da clang h6a theo chiau rOng ma c6 sir chuyan bin tich cu.c da clang h6a theo chiau sau Tuy nhien, mire da clang Ma thdp hon nhiau so vai cac nuac khu \Tue Hon nua, da dang h6a mat hang xuat khau dm Viet Nam chili yesu theo chiau rOng, mire dO da dang hoa theo chiau sau nhiau han cha Qua trinh da clang hoa din chili y'au a nhom hang the, so cha, nhom hang cha bin dtra tren tai nguyen, nhOm hang co ham lugng khoa hoc cong ngha thap va trung binh Footer Page 170 of 258 155 Header Page 171 of 258 - Luan an da phan tich dinh tinh tac clang cua da clang hoa mat hang xuat khau den tang truang kinh to Vi't Nam bang phuong phap mo to thong ke Ket qua cho thay da clang h6a mat hang xuat khau khong chi g6p phAn giam thieu nhung rui ro tnrac nhang bien clang tir ben ngoai, tri on dinh thu nhap tir xuat khau, ma can kich thich hoat Tang san xuat nuac phat trim theo huang da clang han, xuat hien nhi'eu nganh nghe mai thong qua cac mai lien ket ngugc va lien ket xuoi, ma rang lgi the so sanh sang cac linh vgc mai ma co the dAn den phan bo nguan lgc hieu qua han - Dga tren so lieu theo quy, tix quy nam 1995 den quy nam 2011, luan an da phan tich dinh lugng tac clang cna da dang h6a mat hang xuat khau den tang twang kinh to Viet Nam bang mo hinh vec to to hai quy VAR Ket qua nghien thu dinh Luang cho thay da clang h6a mat hang xuat khau co anh huong tich cgc den tang truang kinh te Viet Nam ca ngan han va dai han Han nira, da dang hoa mat hang xuat khau can gop phan kich thich cac doanh nghiep nghiep dau to ma rang san xuat kinh doanh, doi mai cong nghe; tao them cong an viec lam cho nguai lao nang cao chat lugng nguan nhan Luc, nha dO gian tiep thilc day tang twang kinh - Phan tac clang cua da clang h6a mat hang xuat khau theo chieu rang va theo chieu sau den tang twang kinh te Ket qua cho thay ca da clang h6a theo chieu rang va theo chieu sau deu thuc day tang truang kinh te Da dang h6a mat hang xuat khan theo chieu rang thuc day phat trien nhang nganh cong nghiep mai va ma rang cac nganh cong nghiep hien c6 nen kinh te, tir da g6p phan thiic day tang truang kinh Da clang h6a mat hang xuat khau theo chieu sau tao hi'eu frng tich cgc g6p phan nang cao kha nang san xuat ciia nen kinh te, kich thich d6i mai cong nghe va tang twang kinh te on dinh dai han Dang cho y, tac clang caa da dang hoa mat hang xuat khau theo chieu sau den tang twang kinh te manh han so vai da dang hoa theo chieu rang Ngodi luan an cling chi rang tac clang cua da dang h6a theo chieu rang tit nam 2000 tra lai day thap han so vai giai clop dau d6i mai Dieu cho thay, n'eu Viet Nam van tip tgc thuc hien da clang h6a theo chieu rang, dga tren lgi the ye tai nguyen thien nhien va lao Ong gia re se anh huang bat lgi den six tang truang cda nen kinh to dai - Tir ca sa lyT thuyet, phan tich thuc trang va ket qua danh gia tac clang cua da clang hOa mat hang xuat an tang truang kinh t6 V* Nam, luan an da de xuat quan di6m, dinh huang va nhom giai phap ca ban thgc hien da clang hoa mat hang xuat khau nham thfic dam bao tang truang kinh to nhanh va ben yang cila nen kinh to theo duang thUc day xuat khau dia Viet Nam nhitng nam Footer Page 171 of 258 156 Header Page 172 of 258 DANH MIX CAC CONG TRINH CUA TAC GIA CO LIEN QUAN DEN LUAN AN Phan Tien Ng9c (2004): "Xuat khau cita Viet Nam boi canh thtrang mgi thi gi6i hien nay", Tap chi Kinh to Chau A - Thai Binh Duang, s6 05/2004 Phan Tien Ngoc (2004): "Ngogi thmang Viet Nam tdn trinh h6i s6 nhap kinh d quac d", Tap chi Nhung van de kinh to the 09/2004 Phan Tien Ng9c (2004): "Quan he nhan qua xuat khau, clau ttr va tang trtrang kinh d Viet Nam", Tap chi thuang mai, s6 10/2004 Phan Tien Ngoc & Pham TL Thang (2004): "Vjn cue xuat khau va tang trtrang kinh to Viet Nam", Tap chi COng san, s6 10/2004 Phan Tien Ng9c (2004): "Phan tich chinh ltrgng ve anh htrang ctia xuat khau, clau ttr din tang trithng kinh to cfia Viet Nam", Tap chi kinh to d6i ngoai, s6 01/2005 Phan Tien Ng9c (2005): "Vietnam's Foreign Trade in World Economic Integration Process", Vietnam Economic Review, se) 04/2005 Phan Tien Ng9c (2005): "Xuact khau thug san clia Viet Nam - Thtrc va thach thirc", Tap chi nhang van de kinh to the giai, se) 11/2005 Phan Tien Ngoc (2006): "Vai tro cita khu tong nghiep, khu the xuat vai phat trim kinh to Viet Nam", Tap chi nghien cfru kinh te, se) 10/2006 Phan Tien Ngoc (2011): "Dau ttr trtrc tiep mak ngoai diet cac doanh nghiep Viet Nam", Tap chi Nhiing van de kinh t6 va chinh tri the giai, se) 7/2011 10 Phan Tien Ng9c (2013): "MC)t so giai phap chuyn dich ca cau mat hang xuat khau Viet Nam", Tap chi Quan 1y nha nuac, s6 7/2013 11 Phan Tien Ng9c & Phan Thi Nhiem (2013): "Da eking h6a mat hang xuat khau cfta Viet Nam", T4p chi Nhung van de kinh t6 va chinh tri the so 7/2013 12 Phan Tien Ng9c (2013): "Lai thj so sanh cac mat hang xuat khju cua Viet Nam", Tap chi Kinh to va Du bao, s6 15/2013 Footer Page 172 of 258 157 Header Page 173 of 258 DANH MUC TAI LIEU THAM KHAO Teti lieu tiing Viet Adam Smith (1776), Cfia ccii cfia Mc dan t6c, Nxb Gido duc dich nam 1997 BCH TW Dang, Van kien Dgi hal Dgi bieU toan quoc cac khaa VI, VII, VIII, IX, X, XI Nxb Chinh tri quiic gia BO Cong Thuang (2008), Ranh gici tac clOng tang the Viet Nam tra thanh vien WTO den thay dai xudt nhap khdu va the die, Bao cao Dix an ho trg thuang mai da bien giai clop II, Ha N'gi Bg Ong Thuang (2011), I31 ' an Chien lu6c Xudt nhap khau hang hat thai Ig) 2011 2020 va clinh huang tai nam 2030" va Quye't dinh s6 2471/QD-TTg ngdy 28/12/2011 dm Thu tuang Chinh phit phe duyest We an Bg K" hoach va DAL! to (2013), Danh gia tang the tinh hinh kinh te-xd hai Viet Nam sau nam gia nhap to chic thuang mgi the giai, Bao cao 4/2013 Nguy6n Van Cong (2011), Lgm phat va kiem soat lam phat Viet Nam, Nxb Chinh tri quoc gia va Cuang & Pham Van Van (2012), Giao trinh kinh te cong cong, Nxb Dai hoc KTQD Nguyen Quang Dong & Nguy6n TN Minh (2012), Giao trinh kinh te luting, Nxb Dai hoc KTQD Dang Dinh Dao & va Thi Minh Loan (2010), Kinh te Viet Nm ba nam gia nhap to chfic thuang mgi the giai 2007-2009, Nxb Dai hoc KTQD 10 Tr'an Th9 D4t (2010), Tang truang kinh te then ky dai mai 6' Viet Nam, Nxb Dai hoc KTQD 11 TrAn Th9 Dat & Ha QuYnh Hoa (2010), Cdu tien va chinh sach tien tea Viet Nam, Nxb Dai hgc KTQD 12 Nguy6n Thi Thu Hang, Nguy6n Dire Thanh (2011), Ngujn gac lam phat Viet Nam giai down 2000-2010: phat hien mai tit nhieng bang chfing mai, Bai nghien dru NC22, Trung tam Nghien ciru Kinh to va Chinh sach, Trung Dai h9c Kinh t6, Dai h9c Qu6c gia Ha Ngi 13 TrAn Hoe (2001), Tang truang cfia nen kinh te Viet Nam theo &rang thfic ddy xudt khdu-nhang dieu kien can thief- va nhfing gicii phap, Juan an tien si, DHKTQD 14 Nguyen Thi Thu Huang (2004), MO so giai phi], phcit trien xu art khdu mat hang mai cfia Viet Nam boi canh hoi nhap kinh te quoc te, De tai nghien cdu cap BO 15 NguyL Thi Minh Huang (2012), "Da d4ng hela mat hang xuat khAtt tir Viet Nam sang Nhat Ban", Tap chi Nghien deu kinh to s6 404, thang 1/2012 16 John Maynard Keynes (1936), thuyet tang quat ye viec lam, lai sudt va tien te, Nxb Gido due dich nam 1994 Footer Page 173 of 258 158 Header Page 174 of 258 17 Nguy8n Hiku Khai (2007), Chuyen dich ca eau hang xueit khan cfia Viet Nam, Nxb Th6ng ke 18 Cu Chi Loi (2009), Tang truang va chat hcang tang truang kinh to tai Viet Nam, Nxb tiz dien bach khoa 19 NO Thang Loi (2012), Giao trinh Kinh to phat trien, Nxb Dai hoc KTQD 20 Nguy8n Van Lich (2006), Can can thuang mai su nghiep CNH,HDH Viet Nam, Nxb Lao dOng-Xa hOi 21 E.Wayne Nafziger (1998), Kinh to hoc cfia cac nuac dang phat trien, Nxb ThOng ke 22 D8 Hoai Nam va Trail Dinh Thien (2009), Mo hinh cong nghiep hoa, hien dai hoa theo chinh &tong xa hoi chic nghta a Viet Nam, Nxb Khoa hoc xa hOi 23 Nguy8n Van Nam (2006, Tac coo va chat luting tang truang a Viet Nam, Nxb DAi hoc kinh to quoc dan 24 Phan Tien Ngoc (2004), "Xtuit khau cfia Viet Nam boi canh thuang mai thj giai hien nay", Tap chi Kinh to Chau A - Thai Binh Duang, so 05/2004 25 Phan Tien Ngoc (2005), "Phan tich dinh luting ve anh huang cua xuAt khAu, dau to den tang truang kinh to dia Viet Nam", Tap chi kinh to dOi ngoai, s6 01/2005 26 Phan Tien Ngoc (2005), "XuAt khAu thug san ctia Viet Nam - Thuc trang va thach thirc", Tap chi nhang van cue kinh to the' giai, s6 11/2005 27 Phan Tien Ng9c (2005), "XuAt khAu thus' san cita Viet Nam - Thuc trang va thach fink", Tap chi nhang van de kinh to the giai, s6 11/2005 28 Phan Tien Noe (2006), "Vai tr.?) cua khu cong nghiep, khu the xuat vOi phat trien kinh to Viet Nam", Tap chi nghien deu kinh te, s6 10/2006 29 Phan Tien Ngoc (2011), "Dail to trtrc tiep nuac ngodi dia cac doanh nghiep Viet Nam", Tap chi Nhang win cad kinh to va chinh tri thj giai, s8 7/2011 30 Phan Tien Ng9c (2013), "Met s6 giai phap chuyen dich co cau mat hang xuAt khau Viet Nam", Tap chi Quan lj) nha nuac, s6 7/2013 31 Phan Tien Ngoc & Phan Thi Nhiem (2013), "Da clang boa mat hang xuAt khAu cua Viet Nam", Tap chi Nhang von de kinh to va chinh tri the giai, so 7/2013 32 Phan Tien Ng9c (2013), "Loi the so sanh cac mat hang xuAt khAu cita Viet Nam", Tap chi Kinh to va Du bao, so 15/2013 33 Dwight H.Perkins, Steven Radelet, David L.Lindauer (2010), Kinh to hoc phat trien, Nxb Th6ng ke 34 Nguy8n H8ng Phong (2007), Giai phap phat trien xuOt khau mat hang mai cfia Viet Nam thol gian tai, Luan an tien si 35 Joseph E.Stiglitz va Shahid Yusuf (2002), Suy ngiim lai su than ky Dong A, Nxb Chinh tri quoc gia 36 Le Thi Minh Tam (1994), Moi quan he giica kinh to c of ngoai va su tang truang kinh to cfia Viet Nam olieu kien nen kinh to ma, Luan an tien si 37 H8 Trung Thanh (2009), Xueit khau ben yang a Viet Nam qua trinh h6i nhap kinh to queic te, Luan an tien si 38 Hoang Due Than & Dinh Quang Ty (2010), "Tang truang kinh to va tien ba, cong bang xa h6i & Viet Nam, Nxb Chinh tri qu6c gia Footer Page 174 of 258 159 Header Page 175 of 258 39 Bin Tat Thang (2010), Ph& trien nhanh va ben yang nen kinh to Viet Nam thai ky 2011-2020, Nxb Khoa hoc )(a hOi 40 Pham Tdt Thang & Phan Tien Ng9c (2004), "Van de xuat khau va tang tnrong kinh to Viet Nam", Top chi COng san, se 10/2004 koi Viet Nam theri ky dai mai, 41 Nguyen Van Thuong (2004), MO so van cle kinh Nxb Chinh tri quec gia 42 Thu tuong Chinh phi' (2011): Quyet dinh se 2471/QD-TTg Phe duyet chien lugc xuat nhdp khdu hang hem thai kST 2011 — 2020, Dinh huemg den nam 2030 43 Michael P.Todaro (1998), Kinh to hoc cho the giai tide ba, Nxb Giao dpc 44 Nguyen Ke 'Nan (2011), Kinh to Viet Nam nam 2010 — nhin lai ma hinh tang twang giai clown 2001-2010, Nxb Dai hoc KTQD 45 Nguyen Van Tun & Tran Hoe (2008), Giao trinh thuang mai queic te, Nxb Dai hoc KTQD 46 Throng Dinh Tuyen, Dinh Van An, Le Trieu Dung, NO Chung Khanh (2009), Bcio cao phan tick thorn kit thuang mai cfia Viet Nam va cac clieu khoon ve can can tarn cfia WTO, Du an h8 try thuang mai da bien giai (loan III, Ha 47 Truong Dinh Tuyen, VO Tri Thanh, Bui Twang Giang, Phan Van Chinh, Le Trieu Dung, Nguyen Anh Duang, Pham SST" An, Nguyen Dim Thanh (2011), Bao cao tcic clOng clia cam ket ma cfia thi twang WTO va cac hiep Binh khu vuc thuang mai to (FTAs) den hoot cking san xuat, thuang mai cua Viet Nam va cac bien phap horn thien ca the clieu hanh xuat nhap khdu cfia Bo Cong Thuang giai down 2011 - 2015, Du an He; try thuang mai da bien giai down III, Ha N'Oi 48 Uy ban kinh to cita Quec HOi (2010), Mo hinh tang tru.ang kinh to Viet Nam: Thifc trgng va Iva ch9n cho giai °loan 2011-2020, Nxb Dai hoc KTQD 49 Bui Thily Van (2011), Deiu to trirc tiep nuac ngoai (FDI) vai viec chuyen dich ca cau mat hang xuat khau a viing Ding bang Bac bo, Luan an tier' 50 Vien Nghien cfru va Quan 1T Kinh to Trung uong (2011), Nang hfc canh tranh cfia doanh nghiep xuat khau ba nganh may mac, thily san, va clien tie a Viet Nam, Vien Bao cao nghien cfru Teti lieu ding Anil 51 Anwesha Aditya & Saikat Sinha Roy (2010), Export Diversification and Economic Growth: Evidence from Cross-Country Analysis, Available from: http://www.isid.ac.ini—puiconference/dec_l conf/ParallelSessions7.html 52 Abuka, C (2005), "Infrastructure, Regional Integration and Growth in Africa." 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XUAT KHAU DEN TANG TRU'ONG KINH TE 1.1 Tang trtrerng kinh to va cac nhan to tic Ong 1.1.1 Khai niem tang trtramg kinh to 1.1.2 MOt so thtrac thu nhap Aid tang twang kinh to chti yeti 1.1.3 Cac... qu6c gia khac 1.1.2.2 Do hrlYng tang tricong kinh to Trong phan tich kinh te, de phan anh mac dO mo rOng quy mo nen kinh te, khai niem t6c (10 tang twang kinh t6 thuang dugc sir dung Day la tST le... tac dOng toi tang tru*ng kinh to Tang truang kinh to la yau to quan nhat quy dinh phfic lgi kinh t6 cua nguai dan moi qu6c gia va duang, nguan gac d(Tin tai tang trtrang kinh t" tit lau da tree