B GIÁO D O I H C KINH T TP H CHÍ MINH PH M TH M L NGHIÊN C U CÁC NHÂN T NS NG PHÁT TRI N C A NGÀNH A BÀN THÀNH PH H LU TP H Chí Minh - CHÍ MINH B GIÁO D O I H C KINH T TP H CHÍ MINH PH M TH M L NGHIÊN C U CÁC NHÂN T NS NG PHÁT TRI N C A NGÀNH A BÀN THÀNH PH H CHÍ MINH i Mã s : 60.34.01.21 LU NG D N KHOA H C: H NG VÂN TP H Chí Minh - i L IC c tiên, tơi xin chân thành g i l i c Th M i - Du L ch ng n Quý Th y Cô khoa i h c Kinh T thành ph H Chí Min cho tơi nhi u ki n th c quý báu th i gian qua Tôi xin chân thành g i l i c ng d n khoa h c c n H ng Vân, n n tình ch b i ng viên su t trình th c hi n lu Sau tơi xin chân thành g i l i c thân n tình h tr n nh ng ib i su t th i gian h c t p nghiên c u Trong trình th c hi n, m i ti p thu ý ki nhi u tài li ts cc g hoàn thi n lu a Quý Th y Cô b n bè, tham kh o tránh kh i sai sót R t mong nh n n h i quý báu c a Quý Th y Cô b c nh ng c Thành ph H m 2012 Tác gi ii L t c n i dung chi ti t c a lu c trình bày theo k t c u dàn ý c a v i s nghiên c u, thu th p phân tích tài li n vi c phát tri n d ch v Minh ti n trình h i nh p qu c t H a bàn thành ph H Chí ng th cs ng d n c a hồn t t lu Tơi xin hoàn toàn ch u trách nhi m v i cam k t Thành ph H Tác gi iii i ii iii vii viii ix 1.1 1.1.1 Logistics 1.1.2 1.1.2.1 1.1.2.2 1.1.3 1.1.3.1 Ph 1.1.3.2 1.1.3.3 1.2 1.3 10 1.3.1 10 1.3.2 16 iv 1.4 .17 1.4.1 17 1.4.1.1 Mơ hình P.E.S.T 17 1.4.1.2 1.4.2 18 20 1.4.2.1 20 1.4.2.2 20 1.5 21 2.1 22 2.1.1 22 2.1.2 23 2.1.3 24 2.2 .26 2.2.1 26 2.2.2 30 2.2.3 34 2.3 40 3.1 41 3.2 41 3.2.1 41 3.2.2 42 3.2.3 44 3.2.4 44 3.3 3.3.1 46 46 v 3.3.2 48 3.4 49 4.1 50 4.2 52 4.2.1 52 4.2.2 55 4.3 55 4.3.1 56 4.3.2 Phân tích n 4.3.3 4.4 58 59 62 4.4.1 63 64 4.4.3 hình 65 4.4.4 65 4.4.4.1 65 4.4.4.2 66 4.4.4.3 67 4.5 .68 70 71 72 73 4.6.4 73 74 4.7 ng 75 5.1 .76 vi 5.2 77 5.2.1 77 5.2.2 78 5.2.2.1 E-Logistics 78 5.2.2.2 5.2.3 79 81 5.2.3.1 81 5.2.3.2 84 5.2.3.3 5.3 H 87 88 89 c vii Các hình Hình 1.1: Hình 2.1: 21 - 26 Hình 2.2: 36 Hình 3.1: 42 Hình 3.2: 44 Hình 4.1: HCM 61 Hình 4.2: 69 50 50 51 51 52 viii g 1.1: 13 27 28 28 29 2011 31 - 31 hóa 2011 31 8: 35 53 55 57 59 63 65 7: 65 : 66 9: 66 67 71 - 72 73 73 74 86 86 34 Rotated Component Matrix a Component PM theo doi HH 730 Ung dung CNTT tai TPHCM 825 KH theo doi HH 720 CN anh huong gia va chat luong Trinh chuyen mon nhan vien log Nhan thuc thay doi Cac chinh sach cua Chinh phu Vi tri cang 698 463 687 611 573 568 431 Duong ket noi 479 441 CSHT khong dong bo 461 442 Un tac GT 449 Vai tro dich vu log 820 Gia ca nguyen lieu - dich vu dau vao Yeu cau quy mo von lon 755 735 Thay doi ve muc thue XNK 708 Ho tro tu chinh quyen HTHQ don gian, minh bach Quy hoach 446 594 722 425 658 Cap nhat thue suat Hanh lang phap ly chong cheo On dinh chinh tri 412 650 600 408 559 Canh tranh tang 766 Dau tu nuoc ngoai 721 Tham gia HDTM va WTO 714 Xu huong thue ngoai 698 DV log1 Extraction Method: Principal Component Analysis Rotation Method: Varimax with Kaiser Normalization .460 35 Rotated Component Matrix a Component PM theo doi HH 730 Ung dung CNTT tai TPHCM 825 KH theo doi HH 720 CN anh huong gia va chat luong Trinh chuyen mon nhan vien log Nhan thuc thay doi Cac chinh sach cua Chinh phu Vi tri cang 698 463 687 611 573 568 431 Duong ket noi 479 441 CSHT khong dong bo 461 442 Un tac GT 449 Vai tro dich vu log 820 Gia ca nguyen lieu - dich vu dau vao Yeu cau quy mo von lon 755 735 Thay doi ve muc thue XNK 708 Ho tro tu chinh quyen HTHQ don gian, minh bach Quy hoach 446 594 722 425 658 Cap nhat thue suat Hanh lang phap ly chong cheo On dinh chinh tri 412 650 600 408 559 Canh tranh tang 766 Dau tu nuoc ngoai 721 Tham gia HDTM va WTO 714 Xu huong thue ngoai 698 DV log1 a Rotation converged in iterations .460 36 KMO and Bartlett's Test Kaiser-Meyer-Olkin Measure of Sampling Adequacy Bartlett's Test of Sphericity 869 Approx Chi-Square 2.515E3 Df 231 Sig .000 Total Variance Explained Extraction Sums of Squared Loadings Initial Eigenvalues Component Total % of Cumulative Variance % Total % of Variance Cumulative % Rotation Sums of Squared Loadings Total % of Variance Cumulative % 8.000 36.366 36.366 8.000 36.366 36.366 4.541 20.641 20.641 2.203 10.013 46.378 2.203 10.013 46.378 3.455 15.703 36.344 1.731 7.869 54.247 1.731 7.869 54.247 3.131 14.232 50.576 1.398 6.355 60.602 1.398 6.355 60.602 2.206 10.026 60.602 954 4.334 64.936 836 3.800 68.736 801 3.643 72.379 706 3.208 75.586 666 3.028 78.615 10 625 2.840 81.454 11 618 2.808 84.263 12 498 2.264 86.526 13 456 2.071 88.597 14 392 1.780 90.377 15 390 1.771 92.148 16 378 1.719 93.867 17 319 1.451 95.318 18 253 1.148 96.466 19 240 1.093 97.559 20 227 1.031 98.589 21 185 843 99.432 22 125 568 100.000 Extraction Method: Principal Component Analysis 37 Rotated Component Matrix a Component PM theo doi HH Trinh chuyen mon nhan vien log 828 722 KH theo doi HH 712 Ung dung CNTT tai TPHCM 701 CN anh huong gia va chat luong Nhan thuc thay doi Cac chinh sach cua Chinh phu Vi tri cang 697 450 659 596 588 446 Vai tro dich vu log 828 Yeu cau quy mo von lon 747 Gia ca nguyen lieu - dich vu 742 dau vao Thay doi ve muc thue XNK 706 Ho tro tu chinh quyen 457 610 HTHQ don gian, minh bach 746 Cap nhat thue suat 673 Quy hoach 442 Hanh lang phap ly chong cheo On dinh chinh tri 647 611 573 Canh tranh tang 790 Tham gia HDTM va WTO 762 Dau tu nuoc ngoai 686 Xu huong thue ngoai 654 Extraction Method: Principal Component Analysis Rotation Method: Varimax with Kaiser Normalization a Rotation converged in iterations 38 KMO and Bartlett's Test Kaiser-Meyer-Olkin Measure of Sampling Adequacy Bartlett's Test of Sphericity Approx Chi-Square 721 444.974 Df Sig .000 Total Variance Explained Initial Eigenvalues Compo nent Total % of Variance Extraction Sums of Squared Loadings Cumulative % 2.504 83.460 83.460 349 11.617 148 4.923 2.504 % of Variance 83.460 Cumulative % 95.077 Total 83.460 100.000 Extraction Method: Principal Component Analysis Component Matrix a Component DV LOG da phat trien 936 Ty trong GDP 933 DV LOG se phat trien 870 Extraction Method: Principal Component Analysis a components extracted khám phá EFA Scale: CongNghe Reliability Statistics Cronbach's Alpha N of Items 895 39 Item-Total Statistics Cronbach's Scale Mean if Item Deleted PM theo doi HH Scale Variance if Corrected ItemItem Deleted Total Correlation Alpha if Item Deleted 24.28 20.094 743 875 24.23 20.763 647 884 KH theo doi HH 24.30 19.884 724 876 Ung dung CNTT tai TPHCM 24.20 20.590 743 875 24.14 20.596 722 877 24.23 20.962 624 886 24.22 21.980 564 891 24.01 21.589 629 885 Trinh chuyen mon nhan vien log CN anh huong gia va chat luong Nhan thuc thay doi Cac chinh sach cua Chinh phu Vi tri cang Scale: KinhTe Reliability Statistics Cronbach's Alpha N of Items 863 Item-Total Statistics Cronbach's Scale Mean if Item Deleted Scale Variance if Corrected ItemItem Deleted Total Correlation Alpha if Item Deleted Thay doi ve muc thue XNK 13.97 6.757 722 825 Vai tro dich vu log 14.28 6.797 744 819 Yeu cau quy mo von lon 14.48 7.310 704 831 14.19 6.536 777 810 13.84 7.733 488 882 Gia ca nguyen lieu - dich vu dau vao Hai quan dien tu 40 Scale: ChinhSachLuat Reliability Statistics Cronbach's Alpha N of Items 789 Item-Total Statistics Cronbach's Scale Mean if Scale Variance if Corrected Item- Item Deleted On dinh chinh tri Item Deleted Total Correlation Alpha if Item Deleted 15.46 6.788 538 759 15.30 6.094 580 747 HTHQ don gian, minh bach 15.33 6.086 624 731 Cap nhat thue suat 15.46 6.505 563 751 Quy hoach 15.35 6.714 536 760 Hanh lang phap ly chong cheo Scale: HoiNhap Reliability Statistics Cronbach's Alpha N of Items 704 Item-Total Statistics Cronbach's Scale Mean if Item Deleted Scale Variance if Corrected ItemItem Deleted Total Correlation Alpha if Item Deleted Xu huong thue ngoai 10.74 3.882 435 676 Dau tu nuoc ngoai 10.64 4.094 455 661 Tham gia HDTM va WTO 11.05 3.604 506 631 Canh tranh tang 10.71 3.815 574 593 41 Correlations X1 X1 Pearson Correlation X2 X2 Pearson Correlation 000 000 713 000 220 220 220 220 220 ** ** 008 000 901 000 220 220 220 220 ** 027 593 Sig (2-tailed) 000 N X3 220 Pearson Correlation 632 ** 584 Sig (2-tailed) 220 220 Pearson Correlation 025 N 632 584 000 Sig (2-tailed) Y 000 N X4 Pearson Correlation Y 025 593 ** X4 ** Sig (2-tailed) N X3 684 596 762 ** ** ** 695 000 220 220 220 008 027 079 713 901 695 220 220 220 220 220 ** 079 684 ** 596 ** 762 243 Sig (2-tailed) 000 000 000 243 N 220 220 220 220 ** Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed) 220 42 C 9: Correlations Y Pearson Correlation X1 X2 X3 1.000 684 596 762 X1 684 1.000 593 632 X2 596 593 1.000 584 X3 762 632 584 1.000 000 000 000 X1 000 000 000 X2 000 000 000 X3 000 000 000 Y 220 220 220 220 X1 220 220 220 220 X2 220 220 220 220 X3 Sig (1-tailed) Y 220 220 220 220 Y N Variables Entered/Removed Variables Model Variables Entered b Removed X3, X2, X1 a Method Enter a All requested variables entered b Dependent Variable: Y b Model Summary Adjusted R Model R 812 R Square a 659 a Predictors: (Constant), X3, X2, X1 b Dependent Variable: Y Std Error of the Square Estimate 654 37824 Durbin-Watson 2.096 43 b ANOVA Model Sum of Squares df Mean Square Regression 59.601 19.867 Residual 30.902 216 90.503 Sig 138.870 000 a 143 Total F 219 a Predictors: (Constant), X3, X2, X1 b Dependent Variable: Y Coefficients Unstandardized Model Standardized Coefficients a Coefficients B Std Error (Constant) 321 286 055 X2 125 X3 524 t 171 X1 Beta a Dependent Variable: Y Correlations Collinearity Statistics Sig Zero-order Partial Part Tolerance VIF 1.878 062 288 5.245 000 684 336 209 524 1.907 050 130 2.485 014 596 167 099 575 1.740 057 504 9.256 000 762 533 368 533 1.876 44 45 C 10: -SAMPLES T-TEST L Test of Homogeneity of Variances Levene Statistic X1 Cong Nghe df1 df2 Sig 1.810 215 128 X2 Kinh Te 773 215 544 X3 Chinh Sach 630 215 642 Y Phat Trien 280 215 891 ANOVA Sum of Squares X1 Cong Nghe Mean Square 212 90.766 215 91.616 545 96.955 215 451 Total 99.134 219 1.844 461 Within Groups 81.861 215 381 Total 83.705 219 2.128 532 Within Groups 88.375 215 411 Total 90.503 219 Sig 219 2.179 F 422 Within Groups Y Phat Trien Total X3 Chinh Sach 850 Within Groups X2 Kinh Te Between Groups df Between Groups Between Groups Between Groups 503 733 1.208 308 1.211 307 1.294 273 46 Independent Samples Test Levene's Test for Equality of Variances t-test for Equality of Means 95% Confidence Interval of Sig F X1 Equal variances Cong Nghe assumed Sig 2.585 t 109 -.781 Kinh Te assumed Chinh Sach assumed 093 761 Equal variances not assumed Y Equal variances Phat Trien assumed 476 218 436 -.06973 08926 -.24566 10620 448 -.06973 09160 -.25057 11110 218 408 07699 09284 -.10599 25996 421 07699 09551 -.11159 26556 991 218 323 08452 08525 -.08350 25254 322 08452 08510 -.08338 25242 218 642 -.04131 08880 -.21633 13371 640 -.04131 08809 -.21508 13246 829 491 -.465 Equal variances not assumed Test of Homogeneity of Variances Levene Statistic X1 Cong Nghe Upper -.469 188.950 371 not assumed Equal variances Lower 993 185.075 805 Equal variances X3 Difference 806 166.170 not assumed Equal variances Difference the Difference -.761 167.799 Equal variances X2 Std Error (2-tailed) df Mean df1 df2 Sig .989 214 425 X2 Kinh Te 1.469 214 201 X3 Chinh Sach 1.445 214 209 Y Phat Trien 1.662 214 145 47 ANOVA Sum of Squares X1 Cong Nghe Mean Square 90.328 214 219 2.386 477 96.748 214 452 Total 99.134 219 2.840 568 Within Groups 80.865 214 378 Total 83.705 219 2.703 541 Within Groups 87.800 214 410 Total 90.503 Sig .422 91.616 F 258 Within Groups Y Phat Trien Total X3 Chinh Sach 1.288 Within Groups X2 Kinh Te Between Groups df 219 Between Groups Between Groups Between Groups 610 692 1.056 386 1.503 190 1.318 258 Test of Homogeneity of Variances Levene Statistic X1 Cong Nghe df1 df2 Sig .633 216 594 X2 Kinh Te 1.051 216 371 X3 Chinh Sach 1.581 216 195 Y Phat Trien 2.465 216 063 ANOVA Sum of Squares X1 Cong Nghe Mean Square 613 204 Within Groups 91.003 216 91.616 463 Within Groups 97.744 216 453 Total 99.134 219 Sig 219 1.390 F 421 Total X2 Kinh Te Between Groups df Between Groups 485 693 1.024 383 48 X3 Chinh Sach 1.175 392 Within Groups 82.531 216 382 Total 83.705 219 1.143 381 Within Groups 89.360 216 414 Total Y Phat Trien Between Groups 90.503 219 Between Groups 1.025 382 921 432 Test of Homogeneity of Variances Levene Statistic df1 df2 Sig X1 Cong Nghe 701 216 552 X2 Kinh Te 294 216 830 X3 Chinh Sach 1.047 216 373 Y Phat Trien 1.225 216 302 ANOVA Sum of Squares X1 Cong Nghe Mean Square 113 91.278 216 91.616 843 96.605 216 447 Total 99.134 219 991 330 Within Groups 82.715 216 383 Total 83.705 219 669 223 Within Groups 89.834 216 416 Total 90.503 219 Sig 219 2.529 F 423 Within Groups Y Phat Trien Total X3 Chinh Sach 338 Within Groups X2 Kinh Te Between Groups df Between Groups Between Groups Between Groups 267 849 1.885 133 863 461 536 658 ... H CHÍ MINH PH M TH M L NGHIÊN C U CÁC NHÂN T NS NG PHÁT TRI N C A NGÀNH A BÀN THÀNH PH H CHÍ MINH i Mã s : 60.34.01.21 LU NG D N KHOA H C: H NG VÂN TP H Chí Minh - i L IC c tiên, xin chân thành. .. d ch v Minh ti n trình h i nh p qu c t H a bàn thành ph H Chí ng th cs ng d n c a hồn t t lu Tơi xin hồn tồn ch u trách nhi m v i cam k t Thành ph H Tác gi iii i ii... ng làm 2 u: phát tri nghiên 3 lý th 4 - LPI (Logistics Performance Index) - 1.1 1.1.1 Logistics - Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific 1.1.2 (The Council of Logistics - 32) Logistics khơng