... Europe and
the former Soviet Union, North Africa andthe Middle East, and Sub-Saharan
Africa. The fourteen major economies include the G7 economies listed above
and the developing and transition ... Timmer, and Ypma (2003, updated 2005).
15
See Jorgenson and Motohashi (2005).
16
WITSA stands for the World InformationTechnologyand Services Alliance.
Other important sources of data include the ... Input, and Productivity.
The final step in our analysis of the world growth resurgence is to
describe and characterize the levels of output, input, and productivity for
the world economy, the...
... than a thousand companies and reveals
some interesting results.
The third essay applies the model developed in the second essay to study
the difference in the adoption and pay-off of the Internet ... it actually handled inventory andthe delivery of the
products during the 1998-1999 time period.
The correlation between the two labor measures is calculated. The log
values of these two measures ...
and processes. They categorized firms based on whether they are purely Internet
based, the type of goods sold (digital or tangible), andthe type of electronic
16
labor, and where t is the...
... Davos and parts of the Wash-
ington Beltway (especially in the vicinity of the International Mone-
tary Fund andthe World Bank Headquarters), there is and should be
a growing recognition that the ... to
influence it, remain timely questions now as they were then. The ad-
mission of China and Taiwan to the World Trade Organization
(WTO), andthe economic and other consequences of this change in
status, ... at the 3rd annual conference between RAND
and the China Reform Forum, held in Beijing in November 2000, on The Challenges of
Globalization.
Globalization: Meaning and Measurement 11
Although the...
...
Recommended catalogue entry:
Information Technologyandthe Forest Sector. Report by the IUFRO Task Force on InformationTechnologyand the
Forest Sector,” jointly organized by the International Union ... provider and
34
by the owner or manager, the availability of resources, andthe attitude to and knowledge and
acceptance of technology by employees. Externally, the decision to adopt the Internet ... enabled the diameter, length, and shape of the
log to be measured andthe log geometry information to be stored (see Bowe et al., 2002). The
information obtained can be used to sort and grade...
... TheGlobal Economy, which includes chapters dealing with
globalization, financial crises, WTO, andthe euro;
II. The U.S. Economyand Foreign Policy, which includes essays on
U.S. tax cuts, the ... in
economics: that between the savings-investment balance, on the one
hand, andthe trade balance (or, more accurately, the current ac-
count balance), on the other. To the extent that domestic ... connections between the blunt
instruments they can use, andthe complex ends they seek.
Perhaps there are ways to hone these instruments so they can be
used with greater dexterity and less risk of...
... passenger trips between the offshore islands and Fujian
Province, including 144,234 from the offshore islands to the mainland,
and 8,200 from the mainland to the offshore islands as of February 29,
2004 ... between the two offshore islands andthe mainland. As part of
that expansion of the mini-three links, the Taiwanese government also
expanded the list of products that the offshore islands can ... act. On the one hand, he faces pressure from the business
community andthe major opposition parties the Kuomintang (KMT), the
main opposition party, andthe People’s First Party (PFP), another
opposition...
... or
below the official poverty line in the New York–Northern
New Jersey–Long Island MSA, the Los Angeles–Long
Beach–Santa Ana MSA, andthe Chicago–Naperville–Joliet
MSA, 2005 119
6.5. Race and ethnicity ... relations between the sexes and differ-
ent age groups in the specific context of the family and relations of production,
that is, the division of labor and its organization, and hence hierarchized
social ... not
mean, as Amin and Thrift (2002) suggest, that they therefore cease to
function as sites of local interdependency and economic power. On
the contrary, the more the urban economy is able to...
... way
“takingover.”There is little attention given to the more
mundane and immediatethreatsto the jobmarket andthe
overall economy. Perhaps the technologists just assume
that once thetechnology ... tunnel. While these businesses ob-
viouslydon’tcaterdirectlyto theglobal massmarket,theyarenone-
thelessintegratedinto the activitythatoccursin the tunnel, and they
are heavily ... little
morebrightly.Theseare the employeesof the automaker
beingrefreshedwithnewlight.Anothertransferofwealth
hastakenplace. The autoworkersinturnmakepurchases
fromotherbusiness,small and large, andthe lightcontin-
uestoparadethrough the tunnel.
We also know that behind the walls of the tunnel
there are more businesses and interconnections...
... mayhaveactuallyin-
creasedforatime,astheywereabletolowertheirprices.
Asaresult,theirprofits, and therefore the wealthoftheir
topemployees and shareholdersincreased.Thesewere the
brighterlightsin the tunnelthatinitiallybecamestronger.
However,asnearlyallbusinessesin the tunnelcontinued
toautomatejobs,atsomepoint the decreasein the num-
berofpotentialcustomersbeganto ... biotechnology and genetics could be considered a
type of information science because it is focused on cataloging and
understanding theinformation inourDNA.
THE LIGHTS IN THE ... on the
seconddayyouhavetwocents and thenfourcentson the
thirdday, and soon.
The firstcharton the nextpageshows the firstfifteen
daysasourpennydoubles.Youcanseethatwestartout
very slowly and then...
... madeeven
morechallengingby the factthat the objectscouldbein
manypossibleorientationsorconfigurations.Consider the
simplecaseofapairofsunglassessittingonatable. The
sunglassesmightbeclosedwith the lensesfacingdown,or
with the lensesup.Orperhaps the glassesareopen with
the lenses oriented vertically. Or maybe one side of the
glassesisopen andthe other closed. And, ofcourse, the
glassescouldberotatedinanydirection. And perhapsthey
are ... securities
werethensoldtobanks and financialinstitutionsallover
the world,with the understandingthattheywereverylow
riskinvestments.
When the subprimeborrowersstarteddefaulting, the
valueof the mortgage-backed securitiesplunged, andthe
derivativesdidnotworkasexpected.Inmanycasesitwas
difficultorimpossibletocalculatetheirvalue.Inaddition,
financialinstitutionshadengagedinmanyothercomplex
interrelationships ... has
quicklyattracted the noticeof the Securities and Exchange
Commission and mayresultinnewregulation.
Astheseexamplesshow,wecanexpectthat the rate
ofchange andthe volatilityofnearlyeverythingaroundus
will...
... demand will in-
crease, andtheeconomy will therefore produce more
goods and services.Inotherwords, the samenumberof
workerswillbeemployedbuttheywillproducemore.
32
The ... collating and faxing in-
formation. The intellectualportionof the job—eitherap-
provingordenying the loan—isprobablyalreadyessential-
lyhandledbyacomputer.Throughout the economy, there
*
Formoreonrobotics and itspotentialimpactonemployment and
on ... food—all of these and countless
thousandsofotherstructures and chemicalsthatcomprise
ourbodies and make usfunctionareproteins. And they
areallconstructedthroughnanotechnology.
Itislikelythat the coming“nanotech”revolutionwill
begin...
... within their capabilities, then how will
they acquire the income necessary to create the demand
thatinturndrivesproduction?Ifweconsider the singular-
ityinthiscontext,thenisitreallysomethingthatwillnec-
essarilypushusforwardexponentially?Orcoulditinac-
tualityleadtorapideconomicdecline?
*
*
The technologistswhospeculateabout the singularitydon’tseemtoo
concerned ... shouldersofAmerican and Europeanconsumers.
And aswehavenotedagain and againinthisbook,those
Westernconsumersalldependonjobs.Ifautomationbe-
ginstodramaticallyimpactemploymentinChina,whileat
the sametimedemanddwindlesin the West and certain-
lyif the catastrophiceventdescribed at the beginning of
thischapteroccurs—thenthiseconomicperpetualmotion
machineisgoingtocollapse.
Givenallthis,whatcanwereallysayabout the future
ofChina?Nearlyafourthof the world’spopulationlives
inChina;therefore,thereisnodoubtthatthiscountrywill
continuetohavesignificant, and perhapsincreasing,influ-
encein the decadestocome.However,simplyextrapolat-
ingcurrenttrendsisveryunlikelytogiveanaccuratepro-
jection.Chinaisgoingtobeheavilyimpactedbyaccelerat-
ing ... purchasing the goods they are producing. Or
eveniftheycanaffordtobuythoseproducts,theyareun-
likelytodo sobecausetheyaremuchmoreinterestedin
THE LIGHTS IN THE TUNNEL...
... to
decline.Rememberthatwearetalkinghereaboutaverage
workers.Toget the graphabove,youmighttake the dis-
tributionofincomesin the UnitedStates and thenelimi-
nateboth the richest andthe poorestpeople.Thengraph
the averageincomeof the remaining“typical”people (the
bulk of consumers) ... by
industries,productionbecomesmoreefficient.Thisresults
insomelossofjobs,butitalsoresultsinlowerpricesfor
goods and services.Inotherwords,itputsmoremoneyin
consumers’ pockets. These consumers then go out and
buyallkindsof things, and so the resultisincreasedde-
mandfor the productsproducedbyalltypesofindustries.
Some ... to
lookinalittlemoredepthatsomeof the mostwidelyheld
conventionalassumptionsabout the future and seeifthey
arereallyreasonable:
The primaryforcethatwillshape the comingdecades
willbeglobalization.Offshoringofjobs andthe con-
tinuingmigrationofmanufacturingtolowwagecoun-
tries...
... elimi-
nates the jobsthatprovideincometoconsumers. The es-
sentialideaisthatweshouldimposesomecombinationof
aconsumptiontax and/ oraspecialdirecttaxonbusiness
thatcaptures the incomewhich,inanon-automatedecon-
omy,wouldbepaidoutinwages.Overtime,as the wages
paidtoaverageworkersdecrease(asapercentageofreve-
nue),thesetaxeswouldbegraduallyincreasedtorecapture
atleastaportionofthisincome. The overallobjectiveisto
recapturejust the optimalamountofincome and thenget
itinto the handsofconsumerssothattherewillbesuffi-
cientconsumerdemandtocontinuedriving the economy.
Once the income ... unless there is either existing market de-
mandor the reasonableexpectationofsuchdemandin the
foreseeablefuture. The idea that productionrespondsto
demandisoneof the definingcharacteristicsofcapitalism.
Removing ... corruption
amongofficialsin the country.Thesepeopleveryoftenact
primarilyfortheirownbenefit and, inparticular,inways
that preserve theirpositions and power—rather thanfor
the benefitoftheircountryasawhole.In the finalanaly-
sis,...